Sunday, September 25, 2022

CFB TV Guesses for 2022 Week 6 (10/8/22)

Here are the games already set for television and/or webcast. Here are the known available telecast windows. 

I have done my best to list what TV windows are out there. Every listing service has a little different schedule for these networks. It is also possible that a window could be eliminated or the time of a window could shift slightly to accommodate a network's needs.

Instead of cluttering up these posts even more, I'll try to keep track of the unique conference TV arrangements in a separate post.  

A few notes and considerations:

Games where either the time or TV network has been set, but not both
Texas vs. Oklahoma (ABC, presumably either 12pm or 3:30pm ET)
Michigan at Indiana (TV TBD, 12pm ET)
Wisconsin at Northwestern (TV TBD, 3:30pm or 4pm ET)
Air Force at Utah State (FOX, FS1 or FS2, Time TBD)
Fresno State at Boise State (FOX, FS1 or FS2, Time TBD)

* ESPN and ESPN2 will have postseason MLB through most of the day.
* CBS has their primetime SEC game in addition to their 3:30pm window. Both games have exclusivity from ESPN, ESPN2 and ESPNU. Which isn't that big of a deal with respect to their SEC selections since those would just got to noon ET, but it cuts out the ability to carry games from other conferences.
* ACC RSNs appear to be set up for two game windows at 4pm & 7:30pm ET.
* Only two BTN windows exist, but the 3:30pm window appears to be for three games. Women's volleyball will air on the network in the evening. I don't think they'll use three at that time.

12pm ABC: Texas vs. Oklahoma
12pm FOX: Michigan at Indiana
12pm ESPN: Auburn at Georgia 
12pm ESPN2: South Carolina at Kentucky
12pm FS1: Texas Tech at Oklahoma State
12pm ESPNU: Army West Point at Wake Forest
12pm SEC: Missouri at Florida
12pm ACC: North Carolina at Miami (FL)
12pm BTN: Iowa at Illinois
12pm CBSSN: Toledo at Northern Illinois
3:30pm ABC: Ohio State at Michigan State
3:30pm CBS: Tennessee at LSU
3:30pm FS1: Fresno State at Boise State
3:30pm ESPNU: South Florida at Cincinnati
3:30pm BTN: Wisconsin at Northwestern
3:30pm BTN: Purdue at Maryland
3:30pm ACC: Virginia Tech at Pitt
4pm FOX: Washington State at USC
4pm SEC: Ole Miss at Vanderbilt
4pm ACC RSNs: Duke at Georgia Tech
4pm Pac-12: Oregon at Arizona
7pm FS1: Air Force at Utah State
7pm ESPNU: Kansas State at Iowa State
7pm NFL: Coastal Carolina at ULM
7:30pm ABC: Florida State at NC State
7:30pm SEC: Arkansas at Mississippi State
7:30pm ACC RSNs: Louisville at Virginia
8pm CBS: Texas A&M at Alabama
8pm FOX: TCU at Kansas
8pm ACC: Clemson at Boston College
8pm Pac-12: Washington at Arizona State
10:30pm ESPN: Utah at UCLA
10:30pm FS1: Oregon State at Stanford

Streaming (ESPN3/ESPN+)
East Carolina at Tulane
Buffalo at Bowling Green
Ball State at Central Michigan
Kent State at Miami (OH)
Akron at Ohio
Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan
James Madison at Arkansas State
Georgia Southern at Georgia State
Southern Miss at Troy

2022 Conference TV Requirements, Six Day Holds and Likely First Picks

Instead of cluttering up the weekly picks, I'm going to keep track of selection specific information in this post like six day holds that have been used, the number of times I think a network has chosen first and the required appearances that a school needs to fill on conference networks like Big Ten Network or Pac-12 Network

Six Day Holds Used
ACC: 1 of 4 (10/1)
American: 0 of 4
Big 12: 1 of 4 (10/1)
Big Ten: 0 of 4
Pac-12: 0 of 4
SEC: 0 of 3

Please note that this is my guess about who chose first in a given Saturday.

Big TenBig 12Pac-12
8/27/22FOX: NE vs. NU----
9/3/22ESPN: ND at OSUFOX: UTEP at OUESPN: UO vs. UGA*
9/10/22FOX: WSU at UWFOX: UA at UTESPN: USC at STAN
9/17/22FOX: OU at NEESPN: UTSA at UTESPN: MSU at UW
9/24/22ESPN: UW at OSUFOX: KState at OUFOX: UO at WSU
10/1/22FOX: UM at IAFOX: OKSt at BUESPN: ASU at USC
10/8/22ESPN: UT vs. OU
10/15/22
10/22/22
10/29/22FOX: OU at ISU
11/5/22
11/12/22
11/19/22
11/26/22FOX: UM at OSU

Both ESPN (ABC, ESPN, ESPN2 and ESPNU) and FOX Sports (FOX & FS1) would normally carry 27 games per season.  Because of an arrangement between ESPN and FOX Sports related to ESPN signing Joe Buck as a NFL broadcaster, FOX Sports has received one of ESPN's telecasts, meaning that FOX has one more than a normal season and ESPN has one less.  

Here's the count of selections for each network, including games selected into the future.  This count excludes the conference championship game.

Network
Count
ABC5
ESPN1
ESPN23
ESPNU2
Total
(Max: 26)
10
FOX8
FS19
Total
(Max: 28)
17
BTN25

All Big Ten schools must appear twice on BTN with at least one of those appearances against another Big Ten school.

BTN Requirement Met?
IndianaYES
IllinoisYES
IowaYES
MarylandNO
MichiganNO
Michigan StateYES
MinnesotaYES
NebraskaYES
NorthwesternNO
Ohio StateYES
Penn StateNO
PurdueNO
RutgersYES
WisconsinYES

Both ESPN and FOX Sports have 22 game selections for the season.  ESPN can count a neutral site game with a Pac-12 school as part of their Pac-12 selections, meaning that Oregon vs. Georgia is included in ESPN's game count.

There are requirements that at least two of ESPN's games air on ABC and one of those ABC games must in East Coast primetime.  FOX must carry eight games on their broadcast network with four of those games in primetime, which does include games that start at 10:30pm ET.

ESPN has already met its primetime commitment for ABC.  FOX must air three more in primetime.

NetworkCount
ABC3
ESPN5
ESPN22
ESPNU0
ESPN TBD1
Total
(Max: 22)
11
FOX4
FS18
Total
(Max: 22)
12
P12 Nets21

Pac-12 Networks requirement is dependent on each team's schedule.  Each school can appear no more than nine times amongst the ESPN and FOX packages, with the remainder on Pac-12 Networks.  The math for that usually works out to the number of non-conference home games each school has scheduled.  

Oregon is in a unique place because it has two non-conference home games, but the their 3rd non-conference game vs. Georgia gets claimed by national rights holder ESPN.  Its part of a quirk in their rights agreement. So I'm not 100% sure on the number of required appearances Oregon will need.  

Games Required By P12NRequirment Met?
Arizona2YES
Arizona State2YES
Cal2YES
Colorado1YES
Oregon2 or 3NO (1 or 2 more needed)
Oregon State2YES
Stanford2NO (1 more needed)
UCLA3YES
USC3NO (1 more needed)
Utah2YES
Washington3NO (2 more needed)
Washington State2YES

The Big 12 has a couple requirements:
  • Each school gets one game on ESPN+ (all except Texas) or Longhorn Network (Texas only) as a institutionally controlled game.  It doesn't count towards the primary ESPN count of games.
  • FOX doesn't have a count of games required, but ESPN has a maximum of 32 games across their 1st tier games, excluding the conference championship game. This would be for all games on ESPN linear networks or ESPN+ that aren't part of the institutionally controlled games.
  • 25 games must air across ABC, FOX, ESPN and FS1, excluding the conference championship game.
The counts below include games selected for future weeks this season and any week night games.

Big 12
ABC4
ESPN1
ESPN24
LHN1
ESPN+4
ABC or ESPN1
ABC, ESPN,
ESPN2 or ESPNU
1
Total16
FOX2
FS16
FOX/FS1 TBD1
Total9
ABC, ESPN,
FOX and FS1
15

Excluding the conference championship game, SEC schools cannot appear more than five times on CBS.  There are rare exceptions where a sixth appearance is allowed.

CBS
Alabama1
Arkansas2
Auburn1
Florida2
Georgia1
Kentucky0
LSU0
Missouri1
Mississippi State0
Ole Miss0
South Carolina0
Tennessee1
Texas A&M0
Vanderbilt0

Sunday, September 18, 2022

CFB TV Confirmations for 2022 Week 5 (10/1/22)

This post will be updated as announcements come out for start times for 10/1/22 from the twelve day selection process that most TV networks adhere to. Most conferences have the possibility of having all or part of their games held for a six day hold for the start time. 

The list of available TV windows are based on media websites, TV listings and press releases. They can change based on the needs of the broadcaster or the conference.

Here's what I guessed based on the available openings (they will prove to be incorrect), along with the games that have already been set

All times Eastern

Games on Six Day Hold
NC State at Clemson - 3:30pm ACCN, 7:30pm ACCN, 12pm ABC, 3:30pm ABC or ESPN, 7pm ESPN2 or 7:30pm ABC
Wake Forest at Florida State - 3:30pm ACCN, 7:30pm ACCN, 12pm ABC, 3:30pm ABC or ESPN, 7pm ESPN2 or 7:30pm ABC
Virginia Tech at North Carolina 3:30pm ACCN, 7:30pm ACCN, 12pm ABC, 3:30pm ABC or ESPN, 7pm ESPN2 or 7:30pm ABC
Georgia Tech at Pitt 3:30pm ACCN, 7:30pm ACCN, 12pm ABC, 3:30pm ABC or ESPN, 7pm ESPN2 or 7:30pm ABC
Oklahoma State at Baylor - 12pm ABC, 3:30pm ABC or ESPN, 3:30pm FOX, 7pm ESPN2, 7:30pm ABC,  7:30pm FS1
Oklahoma at TCU  - 12pm ABC, 3:30pm ABC or ESPN, 3:30pm FOX, 7pm ESPN2, 7:30pm ABC,  7:30pm FS1
West Virginia at Texas - 12pm ABC, 3:30pm ABC or ESPN, 3:30pm FOX, 7pm ESPN2, 7:30pm ABC,  7:30pm FS1

7pm ESPN2 may be deleted with this the tentative plan for the 1st CFB ManningCast with Pat McAfee

12pm FOX: Michigan at Iowa
12pm ESPN: Kentucky at Ole Miss
12pm ESPN2: Purdue at Minnesota
12pm ESPNU: Temple at Memphis
12pm SEC: South Carolina State at South Carolina
12pm ACC: Louisville at Boston College
12pm BTN: Illinois at Wisconsin
12pm ESPN+: Texas Tech at Kansas State
1:30pm ESPN+: Texas State at James Madison
2pm Pac-12: Oregon State at Utah
2pm ESPN+: Northern Illinois at Ball State
2pm ESPN+: UMass at Eastern Michigan
3:30pm CBS: Alabama at Arkansas
3:30pm ABC/ESPN: Northwestern at Penn State
3:30pm ESPN2/ESPNU: SMU at UCF 
3:30pm ESPN2/ESPNU: Iowa State at Kansas
3:30pm FS1: Michigan State at Maryland
3:30pm NFLN: Central Michigan at Toledo
3:30pm BTN: Rutgers at Ohio State
3:30pm ESPN+: Miami (OH) at Buffalo
3:30pm ESPN+: Ohio at Kent State
3:30pm ESPN+: Bowling Green at Akron
3:30pm ESPN+: Gardner-Webb at Marshall
3:30pm ESPN+: The Citadel at App State
4pm SEC: Texas A&M at Mississippi State
4pm ESPN+: Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina
5pm ACCNX/ESPN+: Wagner at Syracuse
5pm ESPN+: South Alabama at Louisiana
5:30pm Pac-12: California at Washington State
6pm ESPN3: New Hampshire at Western Michigan
6pm ESPN+: Liberty at Old Dominion
7pm ESPN: LSU at Auburn
7pm ESPNU: Cincinnati at Tulsa
7pm ESPN+: East Carolina at South Florida
7pm ESPN+: ULM at Arkansas State
7:30pm SEC: Georgia at Missouri
7:30pm BTN: Indiana at Nebraska
7:30pm ACC RSNs: Virginia at Duke
9:30pm Pac-12: Colorado at Arizona
10:15pm ESPNU: UC Davis at Montana State
10:30pm ESPN: Arizona State at USC
11pm FS1: Stanford at Oregon

CFB TV Guesses for 2022 Week 5 (10/1/22)

Here are the games already set for television and/or webcast. Here are the known available telecast windows. 

I have done my best to list what TV windows are out there. Every listing service has a little different schedule for these networks. It is also possible that a window could be eliminated or the time of a window could shift slightly to accommodate a network's needs.

A few notes and considerations:

Preselected for time and/or TV, but not both:

Games where either the time or TV network has been set, but not both
* Northwestern at Penn State (ESPN Networks, Time TBD)
* Purdue at Minnesota (TV TBD, 12pm)
* Rutgers at Ohio State (TV TBD, 3:30pm)
* Indiana at Nebraska (TV TBD, 7pm or 7:30pm ET)
* UC Davis at Montana State (ESPN2 or ESPNU, 10:15pm)

Notes
* Zap2It indicated that CBS was choosing between Alabama at Arkansas and LSU at Auburn.
* FS1 doesn't have a 12pm ET slot available due to a NASCAR Truck Series race.
* I gave FOX the top Big Ten and Pac-12 choices, and ESPN received the top Big 12 choice.
* I think its valid to question whether Rutgers at Ohio State could have been FOX's top choice, but as mentioned above, it is locked to the 3:30pm time slot as OSU's homecoming game. So I went with Michigan at Iowa over the 2nd Big 12 selection (in this set of guesses, West Virginia at Texas).  There's precedent for FOX having their best game outside of the "Big Noon" slot.  Example involved OSU's homecoming last season vs. Maryland on 10/9, when FOX ended up putting Penn State at Iowa at 4pm along with taking their pregame show to Iowa City.
* I probably would have had Rutgers at Ohio State on BTN if Michigan State had not lost to Washington. Wake Forest at Florida State would have slotted in to the ABC 3:30pm slot.
* In a very long roundabout way, FOX taking Michigan at Iowa for Big Noon is also a justification for  NC State at Clemson being the primetime game.  Not that the game isn't worth a primetime slot as both should come in to the game highly ranked, though Clemson does have the tougher Week 4 opponent in Wake Forest. 
* Kentucky at Ole Miss doesn't scream "ESPN Primetime" but its not easy to place it at 12pm ET and, say, LSU at Auburn in primetime instead.  Part of balancing name brands vs. worthiness.  Three of the four play non-conference games that they should be favored in, and Auburn is favored over Missouri in Week 4.  All things being equal and expectations holding to form, Kentucky at Ole Miss is more worthy.
* TV listings indicated three windows for Pac-12 Networks.
* At this time, ESPNU lists a 30 for 30 rerun at 10pm ET, so that seems to default UC Davis at Montana State to ESPN2.
* A case could be made that Oregon State at Utah should be ahead of Stanford at Oregon in the Pac-12 order, assuming ESPN picks ahead of Pac-12 Networks.  If that were to occur, move the ESPN window up 30 minutes to 10pm ET as the TV window has to start no later than 8pm local time.

All times Eastern

12pm ABC: Oklahoma at TCU
12pm FOX: Michigan at Iowa
12pm ESPN: LSU at Auburn
12pm ESPN2: Northwestern at Penn State
12pm ESPNU: Cincinnati at Tulsa
12pm SEC: South Carolina State at South Carolina
12pm ACC: Georgia Tech at Pitt
12pm BTN: Purdue at Minnesota
12:30pm ACC RSNs: Virginia at Duke
3pm Pac-12: California at Washington State
3:30pm ABC: Rutgers at Ohio State
3:30pm CBS: Alabama at Arkansas
3:30pm FOX: West Virginia at Texas
3:30pm ESPN: Wake Forest at Florida State
3:30pm ESPN2: Oklahoma State at Baylor
3:30pm FS1: Iowa State at Kansas
3:30pm ESPNU: SMU at UCF
3:30pm ACC: Louisville at Boston College
3:30pm BTN: Michigan State at Maryland
4pm SEC: Texas A&M at Mississippi State
6:30pm Pac-12: Oregon State at Utah
7pm ESPN: Kentucky at Ole Miss
7pm ESPN2: Texas Tech at Kansas State
7pm NFLN: Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina
7pm ESPNU: Temple at Memphis
7:30pm ABC: NC State at Clemson
7:30pm FS1: Illinois at Wisconsin
7:30pm SEC: Georgia at Missouri
7:30pm ACC: Virginia Tech at North Carolina
7:30pm BTN: Indiana at Nebraska
10pm Pac-12: Colorado at Arizona
10:15pm ESPN2: UC Davis at Montana State
10:30pm ESPN: Stanford at Oregon
11pm FS1: Arizona State at USC

Streaming (ESPN3/ESPN+/ACCNX)
Wagner at Syracuse
East Carolina at South Florida
Bowling Green at Akron
Northern Illinois at Ball State
Miami (OH) at Buffalo
Ohio at Kent State
Central Michigan at Toledo
New Hampshire at Western Michigan
The Citadel at App State
ULM at Arkansas State
South Alabama at Louisiana
Texas State at James Madison
Gardner-Webb at Marshall
Liberty at Old Dominion

Monday, September 12, 2022

CFB TV Confirmations for 2022 Week 4 (9/24/22)

This post will be updated as announcements come out for start times for 9/24/22 from the twelve day selection process that most TV networks adhere to. Most conferences have the possibility of having all or part of their games held for a six day hold for the start time. 

The list of available TV windows are based on media websites, TV listings and press releases. They can change based on the needs of the broadcaster or the conference.

Here's what I guessed based on the available openings (they will prove to be incorrect), along with the games that have already been set

All times Eastern

12pm ABC: Clemson at Wake Forest
12pm FOX: Maryland at Michigan
12pm ESPN: Missouri at Auburn
12pm ESPN2/ESPNU: Baylor at Iowa State
12pm ESPN2/ESPNU: TCU at SMU
12pm FS1: Duke at Kansas
12pm SECN: Bowling Green at Mississippi State
12pm BTN: Central Michigan at Penn State
12pm ACCN: Rhode Island at Pitt
12pm CBSSN: Buffalo at Eastern Michigan
12pm ACC RSNs: South Florida at Louisville
2pm Pac-12: UCLA at Colorado
2pm ESPN+: UMass at Temple
2pm ESPN+: Fordham at Ohio
3:30pm CBS: Florida at Tennessee
3:30pm ABC/ESPN: Texas at Texas Tech 
3:30pm ABC/ESPN: Notre Dame at North Carolina
3:30pm ESPN2: Georgia Tech at UCF OR Indiana at Cincinnati
3:30pm FS1: Toledo at San Diego State
3:30pm BTN: Minnesota at Michigan State
3:30pm ACCN: Middle Tennessee at Miami (FL)
3:30pm ESPN+: North Texas at Memphis
3:30pm ESPN+: James Madison at App State
4pm FOX: Oregon at Washington State
4pm ESPNU: Georgia Tech at UCF OR Indiana at Cincinnati
4pm SECN: Tulsa at Ole Miss
5:30pm Pac-12: Arizona at California
6pm ESPN+: Akron at Liberty
6pm ESPN+: Navy at East Carolina
6pm ESPN+: Rice at Houston
6pm ESPN+: Ball State at Georgia Southern
6pm ESPN+: Arkansas State at Old Dominion
7pm ESPN: Arkansas vs. Texas A&M
7pm ESPN2: Northern Illinois at Kentucky 
7pm FS1: Iowa at Rutgers
7pm NFLN: Marshall at Troy
7pm ESPN3: Houston Baptist at Texas State
7pm ESPN+: Southern Miss at Tulane
7pm ESPN+: Louisiana Tech at South Alabama
7:30pm ABC: Wisconsin at Ohio State
7:30pm ESPNU: Charlotte at South Carolina
7:30pm SECN: Vanderbilt at Alabama
7:30pm BTN: Miami (OH) at Northwestern
7:30pm ACC RSNs: UConn at NC State
8pm FOX: Kansas State at Oklahoma
8pm ACCN: Boston College at Florida State
8pm ESPN+: Louisiana at ULM
9:30pm Pac-12: USC at Oregon State
10:15pm ESPN/ESPN2: Wyoming at BYU 
10:30pm ESPN/ESPN2: Utah at Arizona State
10:30pm FS1: Stanford at Washington