Sunday, March 17, 2013

Seeding guesses for 2013 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament

My guesses on seedings for tonight's selection show.   Looked over top 50 wins, RPI, BPI, Ken Pomeroy's rankings and made a few adjustments here or there.  This is what I'm going with.  I'm not assigning anyone to a site or a particular game.  Too many rules and I have a headache.

The first four games I have are:

James Madison vs. LIU Brooklyn - 16 seed
North Carolina A&T vs. Liberty - 16 seed
Illinois vs. California -12 seed
LaSalle vs. Southern Miss - 12 seed

The way I initially ranked the teams on the 12 line would have had LaSalle facing Temple.  I'm guessing the tournament selection committee would not attempt to place teams from the same conference in the First Four, so Temple got a pass.

Bold = Automatic qualifiers

1 - Louisville, Indiana, KansasGonzaga
2 - Duke, FloridaMiami (FL)Ohio St.
3 - New Mexico, Michigan St., Michigan, Georgetown
4 - Arizona, Saint Louis, Oklahoma St., Marquette
5 - Memphis, VCU, Creighton, Wisconsin
6 - Syracuse, Colorado St., UNLV, Kansas St.
7 - Butler, North Carolina, UCLA, Pittsburgh
8 - NC State, San Diego St., Missouri, Wichita St.
9 - Belmont, Oregon, St. Mary's, Notre Dame
10 - Middle Tennessee, Minnesota, Colorado, Iowa St.
11 - Cincinnati, Oklahoma, Ole Miss, Boise St.
12 - Akron, Temple, LaSalle/Southern Miss, Illinois/California
13 - Bucknell, Valparaiso, New Mexico St., Davidson
14 - South Dakota St., Iona, Northwestern St., Harvard
15 - Montana, Pacific, Florida Gulf Coast, Albany
16 - Western Kentucky, Southern, James Madison/LIU Brooklyn, North Carolina A&T/Liberty 

Provisionally listing Saint Louis, Miami (FL), Florida & Ohio St. as winning their conference tournaments.  Shouldn't affect seeding if they lose in my opinion

Under consideration: Kentucky, Villanova, Baylor, Stanford, Tennessee, Maryland, Denver, Alabama, Iowa, Virginia.

Even if one of the four provisional champions lost today, it would not affect the field.

Multiple bid conferences (19 single bid conferences)
ACC - 4
Atlantic 10 - 5
Big 12 - 5
Big Ten - 7
Big East - 7
C-USA - 2
MVC - 2
MWC - 5
Pac-12 - 5
SEC - 3
Sun Belt - 2
WCC - 2

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