11/10 TV Confirmations

My guesses
Full list of games

Its one giantic six day hold.  If you're game isn't listed, go to the full list of games, scroll to the bottom and show non-televised games and it might show possible TV windows for your game.

12pm CBS & CBSSports.com: Arkansas at South Carolina
12pm FSN: Kansas at Texas Tech
12pm BTN & BTN2Go.com: Purdue at Iowa
12pm SEC Network & ESPN3 (split): Missouri at Tennessee
12pm SEC Network & ESPN3 (split): UL-Lafayette at Florida
12pm Longhorn Network & LonghornNetwork.com: Iowa St. at Texas

1:30pm F/X: Colorado at Arizona
3pm ACC RSNs & ESPN3:
3:30pm ABC with ESPN2 Reverse Mirror: Penn St. at Nebraska
3:30pm BTN & BTN2Go.com: Minnesota at Illinois

7pm ESPN2 & WatchESPN: Georgia at Auburn

7pm ESPNU & WatchESPN: Vanderbilt at Ole Miss

7pm FSN: Southern Miss at SMU

7pm Longhorn Network & LonghornNetwork.com: Louisiana Tech at Texas St.

11/10 Selection Guesses

Abbreviated.  I thought I had this article already written.

* ABC has a 12pm window to use
* CBS has an afternoon doubleheader with the SEC, 12pm & 3:30pm.  They pick 1st, then 4th, with ESPN in the middle
* The FSN/SEC regional package ended on 11/3
* F/X is again an early afternoon kickoff, likely for Pac-12
* I think FOX strays from the script again

Since its short, let me know what I missed or what you think is wrong.

12pm CBS: Missouri at Tennessee
12pm ABC: Notre Dame at Boston College
12pm ESPN/ESPN2: Northwestern at Michigan
12pm ESPN2/ESPN2: Louisville at Syracuse
12pm ESPNU: Vanderbilt at Ole Miss
12pm FSN: Kansas at Texas Tech
12pm BTN: Purdue at Iowa
12pm BTN: Wisconsin at Indiana
12pm SEC Net: Arkansas at South Carolina
12pm Big East Net: Cincinnati at Temple
12pm Longhorn: Iowa St. at Texas
12:30pm ACC Net: Miami (FL) at Virginia
1:30pm F/X: Colorado at Arizona
3pm FOX: Oregon St. at Stanford
3pm ACC RSNs: Georgia Tech at North Carolina
3pm Pac-12 Net: Utah at Washington
3:30pm CBS:  Texas A&M at Alabama
3:30pm ABC with RM: Penn St. at Nebraska
3:30pm ABC with RM: Baylor at Oklahoma
3:30pm ABC: Maryland at Clemson
3:30pm ESPNU: Wake Forest at NC State
3:30pm FSN: West Virginia at Oklahoma St.
3:30pm BTN: Minnesota at Illinois
5pm Longhorn: Louisiana Tech at Texas St.
7pm FOX: Kansas St. at TCU
7pm ESPN: Mississippi St. at LSU
7pm ESPN2: Georgia at Auburn
7pm ESPNU: UL-Lafayette at Florida
7pm FSN: Southern Miss at SMU
8pm ABC: California at Oregon
10:30 pm ESPN: Arizona St. at USC
10:30pm Pac-12 Net: UCLA at Washington St.

ESPN Exclusive
Army at Rutgers

Late selection guesses for 11/3 and some other stuff

* First, because I don't want it skimmed over, I'll be unavailable most of next week.  Will post selections on Sunday & Monday because I'll have time to do so & fix up the site for Saturday 11/3 during late evenings.  For the most part your tweets and emails will go ignored/unanswered until late evening.

* Unlike the SEC contract, which I'm told forbids it when unless both sides agree to it, the ACC contract must allow for Raycom to do a split regional game.  The ACC may also have a limit on the number of conference games that can be placed on ESPN3 exclusively and this is the way around it.

* The bad news at 12pm-3:30pm on 11/3 is that a few games aren't likely going to be shown through GamePlan.  GamePlan only has six channels available to use at any time.  With three SEC regional games, a Big East game, two ACC games, two ABC regional games and a MAC game, someone is likely going to get set aside.  At least the MAC game will get tossed, maybe joined in progress.  I'm pretty sure the ACC games can be viewed regardless of location over at the ACC website, so those two may have to sit the bench too.

* Sometimes when it comes to deciding who goes in what slot, sometimes I go with a ranking order with the combined number of wins by the two teams.  In that case, assuming that ESPNU is in more homes than the Big East Network, I wouldn't have placed UConn-USF in that slot since it had the least number of combined wins compared to the other two Big East games.

* Inquiring minds: ABC/ESPN will have used 14 of its 18 allotted slots once the 11/3 announcements come out.  10 on ABC, 2 on ESPN and 2 on Longhorn Network...The Big East minimum of 17 telecasts on ABC/ESPN/ESPN2 has also been hit (they're at 18), but they have not yet used their one Saturday night window on ABC/ESPN/ESPN2.  Don't think that the Florida St./USF 6pm start counts towards that either...ABC/ESPN have a max of 41 total football selections from the Big Ten.  There used to be a limit to the number of games on ABC (max of 16) and ESPN/ESPN2 (max of 25), but those no longer exist.  The selections can be spread out.  31 games, including two games on 11/3, have been set for ABC/ESPN/ESPN2.  I do not know if ESPNU games are part of the count.  If so, the number is 33...ABC/ESPN has scheduled 18 of its 22 Pac-12 windows, FOX has scheduled 17 of its 22 including the two Black Friday games on FOX & F/X.  FOX will likely use three more broadcast windows, meaning that the two remaining Pac-12 windows probably come from F/X on 11/10 and 11/17.

Here's the guesses

12pm ABC:  Oklahoma at Iowa St.
12pm ESPN: Texas A&M at Mississippi St.
12pm ESPN2: Ole Miss at Georgia
12pm BTN: Nebraska at Michigan St.
3pm FOX: Texas at Texas Tech
3:30pm CBS: Missouri at Florida
3:30pm ABC with Reverse Mirror:  TCU at West Virginia
3:30pm ABC with Reverse Mirror: Michigan at Minnesota
3:30pm ESPN: Illinois at Ohio St.
3:30pm ESPNU: Penn St. at Purdue
3:30pm BTN: Iowa at Indiana
8pm ABC: Oklahoma St. at Kansas St.

11/3 CFB TV Confirmations

My guesses, which you'll find to be incorrect
Full list for week 10

Following slots are on six day pick:

12pm ABC & ESPN3: Big 12 (split with Temple-Louisville)
12pm ESPN & WatchESPN: SEC
12pm ESPN2 & WatchESPN: SEC
12pm BTN & BTN2Go.com: Big Ten
3pm FOX: Big 12
3:30pm CBS: SEC
3:30pm ABC with Reverse Mirror: Big 12 & Big Ten
3:30pm ESPN & WatchESPN: Big Ten
3:30pm ESPNU & WatchESPN: Big Ten
3:30pm BTN & BTN2Go.com: Big Ten
8pm ABC: Big 12

Confirmations
TBA BTN: Iowa at Indiana (12pm or 3:30pm)
12pm ABC & ESPN3: Temple at Lousville
12pm ESPNU & WatchESPN: Vanderbilt at Kentucky
12pm FSN: Houston at East Carolina
12pm SEC Network & ESPN3: Tulsa at Arkansas
12pm Big East Network & ESPN3: Syracuse at Cincinnati
12pm SEC/FOX RSNs & ESPN3: Troy at Tennessee
12:30pm ACC Network (split) & ESPN3: Virginia at NC State
12:30pm ACC Network (split) & ESPN3: Georgia Tech at Maryland
12:30pm SEC/CSS & ESPN3: New Mexico St. at Auburn
2pm F/X: Stanford at Colorado
3pm Pac-12 Network & Pac-12.com: Washington St at Utah

3:30pm FSN: Kansas at Baylor

3:30pm ACC RSNs & ESPN3: Boston College at Wake Forest

7pm FOX: Oregon at USC

7pm ESPN2 & WatchESPN: Clemson at Duke

7pm ESPNU & WatchESPN: Connecticut at USF

10:30pm ESPN/ESPN2/ESPNU & WatchESPN: Arizona St. at Oregon St.

10:30pm Pac-12 Network & Pac-12.com: Arizona at UCLA

11/3 CFB TV Selection Guesses

Notes on the guesses (EDIT: 10/21/12 3:42 PM - disregard the strikethrough item)

* November means no more Big Ten night games.  Granted they select them months in advance anyways, but it isn't an option anymore.
* Conversely, the SEC's primetime doubleheader is this week.  CBS has exclusivity in both the 3:30pm and 8pm time slots.
* No ESPN slot at 7pm.  NASCAR Nationwide series duties.
* F/X lists their timeslot as 1:30pm.  Makes it eligible for a portion of the Pac-12 who resides in the mountain timezone (11:30am local time), and on 11/10 & 11/17, the Arizona schools.  F/X might be able to adjust their kick time too for a Pac-12 game slightly.
* My thought with Arizona St.-Oregon St. on Pac-12 Network is that with FOX clearly having the best available game in Oregon-USC, the Pac-12 Network may have a week where they leap over ESPN to take the next best game.  Just a hunch, nothing more.
* I could see a 12 day pick being used on some of the Big 12 games, but it would be rather wasteful, IMO.  Could also see some of the ESPNU slots in a 12 day pick with the ACC & Big East too.
* I thought about placing both Michigan-Minnesota & Illinois-Ohio St. on ESPN & ESPN2.  I'm trying to get clarification from the Big Ten, but they have 16 games already scheduled for ABC.  Under the terms of their pre-Nebraska fact sheet, no more than 17 games can air on ABC.  I don't think ABC has to select a Big Ten game at 3:30pm.  In '07, no Big Ten game was selected on 10/27 at 3:30pm and Michigan-Minnesota aired on ESPN Classic with special permission for Detroit's ABC affiliate to pick up the game (there was an 8pm Big Ten ABC game).
* Oklahoma St.-Kansas St. was on FOX's list to televise.  I don't think they'd pass it up, but the mess involves the Texas-Texas Tech game and I think they have to stray from the list again.  Earlier this week I wrote that Texas is up against the appearance limit in the ABC/ESPN package.  Either the Texas Tech game or the Kansas St. game has to air in the FOX portion of the contract either on cable/broadcast network.  The Texas-Kansas St. game is the final week of the season and FOX does not have a broadcast window scheduled for that day.  If I'm the Big 12 and ABC, I politely ask FOX to take Texas-Texas Tech (which is still a pretty good game involving a top 20 ranked team), so that ABC has the option to take Texas-Kansas St. on 12/1
* Last one: It wouldn't surprise me to see Temple-Louisville land on ABC/ESPN/ESPN2 in primetime.  Big East gets one Saturday primetime appearance per year on either of those three networks.  If Louisville is undefeated, it could get a look to flip with Oklahoma-Iowa St. for ESPN2 or be split with Oklahoma St.-Kansas St. on ABC, which would put BC-Wake Forest on television somewhere.

12pm ESPN/ESPN2: Missouri at Florida
12pm ESPN/ESPN2: Ole Miss at Georgia
12pm ESPNU: Troy at Tennessee
12pm BTN: Iowa at Indiana
12pm BTN: Nebraska at Michigan St.
12pm FSN: Houston at East Carolina
12pm SEC/FOX RSNs: Tulsa at Arkansas
12pm SEC Network: Vanderbilt at Kentucky
12pm Big East Network: Connecticut at USF
12:30pm ACC Network: Georgia Tech at Maryland
12:30pm SEC/CSS: New Mexico St. at Auburn
1:30pm F/X: Stanford at Colorado
3pm FOX: Texas at Texas Tech
3pm Pac-12 Network: Washington St. at Utah
3:30pm CBS: Texas A&M at Mississippi St.
3:30pm ABC w/ESPN2: Reverse Mirror: Michigan at Minnesota
3:30pm ABC w/ESPN2: Reverse Mirror: TCU at West Virginia
3:30pm ABC: Clemson at Duke
3:30pm ESPN: Illinois at Ohio St.
3:30pm ESPNU: Syracuse at Cincinnati
3:30pm FSN: Baylor at Kansas
3:30pm ACC RSNs: Virginia at NC State
3:30pm BTN: Penn St. at Purdue
7pm FOX: Oregon at USC (99% confirmed)
7pm ESPN2: Oklahoma at Iowa St.
7pm ESPNU: Temple at Louisville
8pm CBS: Alabama at LSU (confirmed)
8pm ABC: Oklahoma St. at Kansas St.
10pm Pac-12 Network: Arizona St. at Oregon St.

10:30pm ESPN: Arizona at UCLA

ESPN3 Exclusive
Boston College at Wake Forest

Appearance counts and why they matter to networks

The four football conferences that I know of that stipulate some form of appearance count for schools are the Big 12, Big Ten, Pac-12 and SEC.  In most cases, the goal of the appearance count is to make sure that the conference's cable package or conference TV network has some value and chance to pick the top teams.  Here's where we stand as of the kickoffs for 10/27, along with any games in November & December which have been selected for television.

Big 12
The ABC/ESPN portion of the Big 12 contract still has an appearance maximum of six appearances per team, per the Big 12 office.  Only Texas is close with five scheduled appearances so far with two on Longhorn Network (one of Texas' three games on LHN is considered an institutional game), one on ESPN and two on ABC.  TCU, Texas Tech and Oklahoma each have three appearances on the networks.  If TCU's remaining games without television are picked up by the ABC/ESPN package, they would max out at six, so they aren't in trouble.

At a minimum, at least one of the remaining Texas Tech games and two of Oklahoma's November & December games must appear in the FOX network/cable package.  If the FOX broadcast tentative package holds up, those two schools will have games in that package.

Conversely, either of Texas's road games at Kansas St. or Texas Tech must be televised in the FOX package of games.  If the Texas Tech game is chosen by ABC or ESPN, the Kansas St. game must be televised by FOX, probably on their cable outlets since they do not have a game listed for FOX's broadcast network on 12/1.

Big Ten
The Big Ten Network has an two appearance requirement and one of those appearances must be a conference game.  Nebraska and Penn St. have only made one appearance on the network and must make a 2nd sometime in November.

Pac-12
Per the Pac-12 office, each school cannot appear in the FOX and ESPN packages no more than nine times combined.  The perceived goal is that each school will have at least one appearance on the Pac-12 Network if the national packages take a schools' entire conference schedule and leave the non-conference schedule alone, or if the national packages pick up any non-conference games, a conference game is there for the Pac-12 Network

Arizona St. and USC have the highest number of scheduled appearances in those at six with three remaining games not set for television, so they are in the clear.  Oregon has five appearances in those packages with four games not set, so they are also OK.

In other words, no team is in danger.

SEC
The CBS package of games has an appearance limit of six per school, with four exceptions over the life of the contract where a team can be shown seven times.  The appearance limit excludes the conference championship game.

Alabama, LSU and Florida are at three scheduled appearances each.  None seem to be in danger of hitting the six appearance limit and would only be able to max out at six appearances.

Again, no team is in danger of having a major game deliberately fall to the ESPN or regional packages.

10/27 CFB TV Confirmations

Here's the timeslots to be filled.

What I thought would happen and will be proven incorrect.
Entire list of games for week nine

12pm ESPN & WatchESPN: Tennessee at South Carolina
12pm ESPN2 & WatchESPN: Iowa at Northwestern
12pm ESPNU & WatchESPN: Kentucky at Missouri
12pm FSN: Texas at Kansas
12pm BTN & BTN2Go.com: Indiana at Illinois
12pm Big East Network & ESPN3: Temple at Pittsburgh
12pm SEC Network & ESPN3: Ole Miss at Arkansas
12:30pm ACC Network & ESPN3: NC State at North Carolina
1pm ESPN3: Maryland at Boston College
3pm F/X:  UCLA at Arizona St.
3pm ACC RSNs & ESPN3: BYU at Georgia Tech
3pm Pac-12 Network & Pac-12.com: Colorado at Oregon
3:30pm FOX: Texas Tech at Kansas St.
3:30pm ABC with ESPN2 Reverse Mirror: Michigan St. at Wisconsin
3:30pm ABC with ESPN2 Reverse Mirror:  USC at Arizona
3:30pm ESPNU & WatchESPN: Duke at Florida St.
3:30pm FSN: TCU at Oklahoma St.
3:30pm BTN & BTN2Go.com: Purdue at Minnesota
3:30pm FOX College Sports: Navy at East Carolina
5:30pm ESPN & WatchESPN: Ohio St. at Penn St.
6pm ESPN3: Western Kentucky at FIU
6:15pm Pac-12 Network & Pac-12.com: Washington St. at Stanford
7pm ESPNU & WatchESPN: Texas A&M at Auburn
7pm FSN: Baylor at Iowa St.
7pm SEC/FOX RSNs & ESPN3: Massachusetts at Vanderbilt
7pm ESPN3: Syracuse at USF
8pm ABC: Notre Dame at Oklahoma
8pm ESPN2 & WatchESPN: Michigan at Nebraska
8:30pm ESPN & WatchESPN: Mississippi St. at Alabama

9:45pm Pac-12 Network (Bay Area & Rocky Mountain) & Pac-12.com: California at Utah

10:15pm Pac-12 Network & Pac-12.com: Oregon St. at Washington