Wednesday, December 18, 2013

Some 2014 CFB TV Nuggets

  • California scheduled their weeknight home game for Levi's Stadium for 2014.  Outside of Black Friday and the opening weekend, FOX Sports 1 did not show any other Friday night games. Seems like it would be earmarked for ESPN, but we shall see.
    • I am a little surprised that Cal is making this big of a deal about studying feasibility of weeknight games.  In 2012, they hosted Washington on Friday, November 2nd.  This was after the renovations of Memorial Stadium.
  • FOX and ESPN each get two priority picks every year.  Just so happens that Notre Dame will visit Arizona St. and USC in 2014.  It would not surprise me to see both networks each reserve one of the games, though we might not hear in advance which ones they get until the late spring or summer.  The USC game seems more likely to be taken by ESPN due to its history.
  • With the exception of the opening week of the season & Black Friday, Oregon and Arizona are the two schools Pac-12 that have not hosted mid-season weeknight games.  Both have hosted either on the Thursday or Friday night of the opening week or on Black Friday.
  • Miami and Louisville, who will face off in the Russell Athletic Bowl in less than two weeks, could open against each other over Labor Day weekend.  Louisville would be the home team and has played games on Sunday of Labor Day weekend.  Could end up being the Labor Day evening game.  Maybe it depends on Teddy Bridgewater's decision to enter the 2014 NFL Draft.  I don't know.  Bridgewater has been very coy about what he intends to do.

  • Have been told that the number of American games on ABC, ESPN, ESPN2 and ESPNU will increase slightly as they start their new contract with ESPN.  I believe the new minimum is now 28 games, up from last year's minimum of 24.  I do not know if it will go up once Navy's home games become part of the conference's TV package as only Navy's conference road games will be available.  I have been told that Navy's home games will remain on CBS Sports Network until the end of their TV contract after the 2018 season.
    • Navy's home appearances on CBS Sports Network will be separate from the sublicensed games that ESPN will make available to CBS Sports Network, so in 2015, you could see around 20 games from the conference on CBS Sports Network when adding together the sublicensed games plus Navy's home games.
    • Navy's home games include the "home" game vs. Notre Dame that usually appears on CBS.
    • Games on ESPNEWS will go towards making sure that a large majority (80-90%) of games are televised on national networks when added together with the other four ESPN networks already mentioned plus CBS Sports Network
    • I am not sure if CBS Sports Network is actively working on an authenticated digital streaming option.  Right now, I would not get my hopes up.
  • CBS Sports Network will again get top priority among regular season games from the Mountain West, excluding Boise St. home games which are reserved for ESPN.  I don't think that it is guaranteed that Boise St.'s conference road games must appear on CBSSN.  I could see CBSSN setting aside these games as their eight:
    • Nebraska at Fresno St.
    • Navy at Air Force
    • Washington at Hawai'i
    • Arizona St. at New Mexico
    • San Diego St. at Fresno St.
    • Boise St. at Air Force
    • Boise St. at Wyoming
    • Boise St. at Nevada
  • With CBSSN retaining 22 Mountain West games, around 10-12 Army & Navy football games, a couple Patriot League games, 13-15 American games and a Division II package for Thursday nights, Conference USA is getting kinda squeezed out.  Maybe C-USA will allow for a few Friday night games on CBSSN to relieve some of the Saturday pressure.  CBSSN could also do a few more 12pm starts for the American & C-USA when Army or Navy are not on the network, plus more late evening starts for the Mountain West.
  • In regards to C-USA, FOX gets to reserve ten games off the top for their television package.  C-USA's advantage when it comes to non-conference games was that it was in proximity to ACC, SEC and Big 12 schools who would regularly travel to those schools for road games, but with realignment, some of the schools that drew decent non-conference opponents have moved on or are moving on this year.  I could see FOX taking some combination of Texas Tech-UTEP, Arizona-UTSA, BYU-Middle Tennesee and FIU's home games vs. Pitt and Louisville, but after that they will need some guidance from the conference office and schools to guide them for the next five selections plus the bottom ten selections.

Saturday, December 14, 2013

Is FOX really a player for the main Big Ten rights?

I posted something re: rights agreements & realignment being relatively stable this offseason -- but some of  YOU couldn't be patient (say the last part in the tone of Lewis Black without yelling).  Naturally what you brought up is the Big Ten rights deals, which run for another three athletic years.  Clearly, some of you couldn't leave this well enough alone, at least for 18 months.

Yes, it will get the fourteen schools (Fourteen? Maybe it will be 22 by that point!) and the conference will have more cash to work with.  And a few of you mentioned that FOX is your front runner.  But everyone has work to do & ESPN might have already been clearing some of the decks to stay in place, at least when it comes to football.

ESPN has already dumped off NASCAR after 2014, which takes up valuable programming blocks on Saturdays.  FOX has also dumped off many of their summer & fall NASCAR commitments too though, which will no longer have to cut in to show qualifying for Sprint Cup or the Nationwide Series.  They will still have the trucks on a few Saturdays, plus whatever other motorsport commitments they've elected to carry live on weekends.

In terms of college football, the only commitment that will increase slightly is that ESPN can increase the number of Big 12 games they can carry starting in 2016 from nineteen up to 23.  Four games that could be shoehorned in anywhere on ABC, ESPN, ESPN2 or ESPNU, especially when you consider that ESPNEWS will be a place to show games on Saturdays from the American and Mountain West.

FOX also has the UFC through 2018, which right now has proven to be the one piece of programming that attracts a consistent audience on FOX Sports 1.  So there will be Saturday nights where they'll have to cut away from college sports.  FOX also has new MLB commitments starting with 2014 where FOX Sports 1 will carry MLB on many Saturdays.

There is also the matter of how were have been working with fifteen week regular seasons in college football in 2013 & 2014.  I believe it is better to look at a base of fourteen week regular seasons, and really thirteen weeks when it comes to a conference that plays a championship game because the last week isn't a week that gets accounted for.

To me, if FOX were going to go in for all the Big Ten rights, a few things need to occur:

  • A determination needs to be made by FOX as to how many games per week they are willing to show on their broadcast network.  With SEC and American syndication ending this year, I counted around ten FOX affiliates that carried ACC Network games plus maybe a few that carried MAC football in the Midwest.  Alledgely their affiliates wanted a newscast before the primetime game, which is where FOX only had two afternoon-primetime doubleheaders.  Clear that up, do the math and figure out how many games you could show from the Big Ten, Big 12 and Pac-12 on a national level.
  • A decision needs to be made where MLB division series and league championships will air.  The broadcast network will have the World Series, but the other playoff obligations can air on either FOX or FOX Sports 1.  Yes, most of those games will take place on weeknights, but they'll likely take up real estate on Saturdays too.
  • I really don't believe that FOX would sublicense these rights back to ESPN.  Would seem foolish to buy rights for something this expensive and keep a competitor around, if you believe FOX would be trying to poach these rights to harm ESPN.  You might look at how FOX and ESPN seem to share rights to the Big 12 and Pac-12, but both I believe were under different circumstances.  The Big 12 was trying to keep itself afloat and the Pac-12 wanted to be on ESPN and FOX if at all possible instead of going to NBC.
  • FOX Sports 2 will absolutely be a key.  Not as some overflow channel, which we found when Texas Tech-Oklahoma moved to FOX News that it wasn't even a consideration, though it became one later in the evening when TCU-Texas moved there in conjunction with airing it on FSN.  The last part is the important part though.  FOX couldn't move that game over to FS2 without providing the FSN option because FS2 is in far fewer homes than FS1.  FOX has to find a way to move some Saturday content, including the odd Big 12 or C-USA game, over there just to create some room and make it content that requires pay TV companies to carry it.  They must get in more homes and for pay TV providers, it probably has to be at a lower rate.
    • Haven't even touched men's basketball either.  If I were FOX, I'd have to make sure that both the Big Ten and Big East were prepared to move games over to FS2, primarily in non-conference play but possibly during conference play too, though the Big East has the luxury of games being sublicensed to CBS Sports Network.  In the case of the Big East, more of their games there and make sure the Big 12 is cool with more of their women's basketball being sent there.
    • FOX Sports Go is also a key.  BTN2Go, right now, is more robust as a product than FOX Sports Go is, not to mention that BTN2Go has the relationships already in place with pay TV companies.  The product has to be what FOX must shoot for with FOX Sports Go.
  • No, let's not even bother with FSN as an option.  Comcast SportsNets cover several Big Ten areas, now and future (Chicago, DC, NYC, Philly) and if they aren't carrying FSN programming now, why press your luck?  Remember that FOX already has good terms with Comcast when it comes to FS1 and, allegedly, FS2.  Why rock that boat again?
The conference needs to figure out how many of its existing quirks will remain in place.  Night games in November allegedly will be relaxed in future years, but how will those games be determined?  Will a game be set aside, then 12 days before hand the rightsholder(s) can decide to place the game on a particular outlet?  Will homecoming kickoff times continue to be set far in advance or be placed into the 12 day selection process?  Will midseason Thursday night games be an option at some point (I don't think so, but its worth asking)?

One item I do believe that will occur: the conference championship game will not be its own contract.  I believe it will go with whomever gets what is today a 41 game package.  Only other thing that would make some sense is that ESPN and BTN share it, where FOX or FOX Sports 1 is allowed to air it in the years BTN has it, similar to the rotation of the Pac-12 championship game.  Maybe one network would have the Pac-12, the other has the Big Ten, and that flipflops every year.


Here's one item to watch though, and its closer in timeframe compared to the conference's full rights agreements:  FOX has to negotiate with several pay TV companies in New Jersey, New York City and the Mid-Atlantic to make sure that BTN is carried on the right tier in those markets so that any Rutgers and Maryland games on the network are seen by as many households as possible in those areas.  Remember that this happened when Nebraska joined the conference.  If there are any missteps by FOX or any acrimony that arises between the schools and FOX, could it show up when all rights are available for the taking?

If the rights hit the open market, and I think they will unless ESPN makes a massive offer in exclusive negotiations to keep them, will FOX make a play for at least a portion of ESPN's rights package?  Absolutely, but like I said, I don't think they can take on the current 41 game package with how their existing resources are set up.  They need work, but they have time and the Big Ten will be paying attention.  Right now the Big Ten has it pretty good with ESPN though.  Via the reverse mirror option, the conference is guaranteed to get their games shown nationally.  I think ESPN has the established spaces and products in place to work with, especially with the extra time they'll earn from losing their NASCAR commitments.  Loyalty does go a long way.  Live Big Ten football first appeared on ESPN in 1989 if I did my research correctly and Bristol pulled out all the stops last time the rights were out there.  I seem to recall reading that ESPN employees were encouraged to wear "ESPN is Big Ten Country" when Big Ten officials were on site.

We shall see though.  We're nearly two years ahead of ourselves and a lot of things can change between now and then.

Wednesday, December 4, 2013

Ten Years Gone...

That's a Led Zeppelin song off Physical Graffiti.  It is how long I've been compiling TV listings for college football and basketball as of the end of the 2013-14 athletic year.  The first year (2004) was at the now-defunct DBSForums.com, the last nine on my own website.

I never set out to do this for ten years.  I can't say I want to do this for ten more years either.  I had hoped to do it for no more than five and move on.  I started doing this was because a friend and I had recently bought DirecTV systems and wanted to know how many college football games we could get access to on a given Saturday compared to our cable systems.  I had moved from Western NY to Northeast Ohio and for the first time had full time access to FOX Sports Net (our WNY affiliate, the late Empire Sports Network, was only part time and eventually cancelled its affiliation on the way to being dissolved).  I posted the listings on a few other boards on the net and after the '04 season decided to get a centralized home for it.   It began to take off from there to the point where it received visibility in the Los Angeles Times and this past summer, Athlon noted it as one of the 100 college football accounts to follow this past offseason.

The college basketball side came along for the ride and has usually been the bigger beast to track because you're dealing with roughly 50% more schools compared to football and compared to football, though I kinda enjoy it a little bit more.  Maybe because things are more entrenched in place and not really flexible.  If basketball had 12 day picks for all tip times, this site and blog wouldn't exist.  Thankfully its only a handful.

At the same time, my own career needed a place to grow.  As a computer programmer, my work in COBOL & mainframe programming was OK, but as someone at the time just turning 30, I needed a sandbox to work on web development, work that I wanted to transition into.  At that point, the site needed a proper home because the free home I had been using didn't have the proper "back end" to do the programming I wanted.  The guts of the site behind the scenes is the main reason today why the site still stands.  It has been rewritten three times, each time due to advances in technology as I've gained more knowledge and different assignments at work.

Not to bore you but simple HTML tables -> Windows Forms -> Windows Forms w/database storage (dynamically generated HTML) -> .Net MVC, jQuery and some tweaks this past summer to make it more responsive for mobile devices.  While the site probably looks extremely plain to you, there is plenty flying around backstage to make sure each page gets served up properly and, hopefully, in a reasonable amount of time to you the end user.

This blog has allowed me to occasionally write about TV rights items and bring things to the forefront that you the viewer might not be aware of.  I'd like to do more of it if I could, but I admit that the blog is often more reactionary than it is news breaking, if it has ever truly broken any news.  If I were to keep track of a batting average of the analysis and the 12 day pick guesses, its probably less than 20% right, but at times I do enjoy sticking my neck out and running through these scenarios as long as I think I have a solid foundation to base the analysis on.  You've contributed to that as well, correcting me when I've glossed over or forgotten something.

And here we are today.  Its been an interesting ten years.  I've been blessed with a solid group of followers on Twitter since that account was started and it has grown mostly through word of mouth and when I've visited many message boards, you've been good to me with allowing me to give you my opinion, along with me taking your points of view and reflecting on them.  You've also been very good about correcting me when I've been wrong, which is a lot.  I've worked jointly with other sites at times and they've been very good to me and by extension, to you the site visitor as well.  Many media members, conference and school officials, television staffers and executives have been very generous to me, and again by extension, you the visitor as well.  Without their honesty and generosity when it came to answering a question or getting an item clarified, this site and blog wouldn't be what it has been.

Over the past ten years we've seen
  • Internet streaming of television become more prevalent.  We now demand a network, or its content, be available via digital means vs. exclusively on television.
    • Internet exclusive games rose exponentially
  • The ways to consume content changed from just televisions & laptops to include handheld devices such as mobile phone & tablets.  
  • Conferences starting their own television networks to generate more revenue
  • Broadcast networks convert or buy channels to have a cable sports division
    • CSTV -> CBS College Sports -> CBS Sports Network
    • OLN -> Versus -> NBC Sports Network
    • SPEED -> FOX Sports 1 (though FOX did have FSN)
  • All four major broadcast English speaking broadcast networks regularly televise college football on Saturdays
  • Concepts such as the reverse mirror, sublicensing and what amounts to sharing rights (ie. Big 12 & Pac-12 where FOX & ABC seem to be co-rights holders instead of a clear #1 or #2)
  • Less and less games every year go without video, either on TV or webcasts
  • Nearly all major bowl games move from broadcast television to pay television
  • High definition became the norm, the standard, the requirement
  • Syndication packages come and go, to the point that only one on that was around in '04 will remain in '14 (ACC Network/Raycom) and that's only because of sublicensing
  • Contracts that were made, well, to be broken, renegotiated and require a bit of compromise to get games on the air.
  • A college football playoff for the bowl subdivision.
  • The NCAA tournament went from being mostly regional the first weekend and the Sweet Sixteen to a four channel affair where every game is national
Not everything has been roses.  I admit that I've had more burnout moments over the past few years and for that I am sorry if you've been on the wrong side of those.

Television became a reason for conferences to expanded and schools to move on, sometimes unnecessarily in the name of the almighty dollar at the expense of rivalries that have yet to restart and may never be played again.  I'm not naive to the notion that there is a lot of money flying around and the athletes who we cheer for don't necessarily reap all of the rewards of that cash, but that is another story that is going to be debated about for years to come.  I'm also not naive to the fact that the school I mostly root for (Syracuse) was one of those who moved on to another conference for the cash.

This weekend I'll be mostly unavailable.  The bowl schedule will updated when I can before Sunday, then finalized late on Sunday night.  I have better things to do.  Hope you understand.  Anyways, thanks for stopping by and reading.  

Monday, November 25, 2013

A look back at 2013 CFB TV by conference

ACC
  • 14 regular season games on ABC.  Last year the conference had nine games on ABC.
    • Four of the 14 were in primetime, up one from 2012.
  • 33 games on ESPN (12), ESPN2 (3) and ESPNU (18)
    • Two additional games were shown on ESPNEWS
  • Nearly all FOX Sports Net affiliates became the de facto home of the ACC's RSN package.  RSNs in Ohio, the Rocky Mountain and Pacific Northwest saw the games on a somewhat regular basis for the first time, along with the addition of YES, MSG Networks and ROOT Sports Pittsburgh who became affiliates as part of being in the conference's new extended footprint.
  • Every intraconference game was carried on television.  Previous years would have 1-2 of these games air on ESPN3 exclusively.
  • 24 games were carried on ABC (2), ESPN (11), ESPN2 (6) and ESPNU (5)
    • An additional seven games were aired on ESPNEWS
    • Two games aired on ABC, down from six in 2012 for the Big East
  • The conference's syndication package, which goes back through the history of the Big East as a football conference, ended with the 11/23 game.  The package was started by Creative Sports Marketing, which was then purchased by ESPN.
  • Eight intraconference games aired on ESPN3 in 2013, up from 1 in 2012.  Note that changes in membership size and schools don't necessarily provide an apples-to-apples comparison
  • 2014 will see a subset of games sublicensed from ESPN to CBS Sports Network.  One game was sublicensed to them in 2013 which allowed ESPN to have CBS Sports Network's 22nd game selection from the Mountain West.
  • Sixteen games on over-the-air network television in 2013.  Down from 21 in 2012.  
    • FOX: 10 in 2013, up one from 2012 (all national).
    • ABC: 6 in 2013 with three of those as full national, either completely on ABC or via reverse mirror.  2012 had 12 games with seven full national on ABC or reverse mirror.
  • Thirty one national cable games in 2013, up from 14 in 2012.
    • FOX Sports 1 carried 22 of the thirty national cable games.  In 2012, F/X carried nine.
    • ESPN Networks carried nine games.  In 2012 they carried five.
      • ESPNU carried Big 12 football games (three) for the 1st time. 
  • Remember that any Longhorn Network games after the "3rd tier" game count towards the ESPN contract.  By my count, that is 17 games.
    • Should the Mississippi St.-Oklahoma St. and LSU-TCU games count as well?  Great question that I haven't been able to get clarified.  I have flip-flopped as to whether these games should count.  Right now I don't think they should.
  • ABC/ESPN is supposed to carry at least 13-15 games to a national audience. I counted 12 games.  Again, if either of the two neutral site games count, ABC/ESPN hit their target.
  • FOX Sports Net syndication carried seven games that were not considered "3rd tier" Big 12 games.  This decreased from eighteen in 2012.  In short, FOX Sports 1 picked up roughly eleven games from FSN.
    • Of the 3rd tier games, FOX Sports Net distributed four of them to regions outside of the Big 12 footprint.
  • FOX College Sports did not carry any Big 12 football exclusively in 2013.  The suite of networks carried four games last year, two of which would have been considered "3rd tier" games.
  • Thursday night games increased from one in '12 to four in '13.  Expect the latter to be the standard in upcoming years, particularly now that FOX is willing to show Thursday night games on FOX Sports 1.
  • 41 games selected by ESPN Networks 
    • Yes, I did count Syracuse at Penn St.  As I understand it, the Big Ten was granted the TV rights for this game.
    • 20 on ABC with ESPN reverse mirroring (+1 from 2012)
    • 21 on ESPN Networks
      • 9 on ESPN, matching 2012
      • 9 on ESPN2, down one from 2012
      • 3 on ESPNU, also matching 2012
  • With the addition of FOX Sports 1 to split the 20 selections that FOX had between the new sports network and FSN, C-USA had 12 games on the national network with eight on FSN.  In 2012, F/X carried one C-USA game with the remaining games left for FSN syndication
  • FOX College Sports carried ten C-USA games, up from eight in 2012
    • There was some minor alterations during the season as to which C-USA games would air on FSN vs. FCS.
  • CBS Sports Network's coverage of the conference decreased from 15 games in 2012 to 12 games in 2013.
  • Thursday night games increased in 2013.  FOX Sports 1 showed seven C-USA games on Thursday nights in 2013.  In 2012, CBS Sports Network showed a pair as did FSN.
  • Coverage on ESPNU and ESPN2 was relatively equal from 2012 to 2013.  One more game on ESPN2 compared to 2012
  • Three games were carried on ESPNEWS early in the season
  • All conference games not carried on television were carried on ESPN3
  • The new Time Warner Cable package, which I did rail against, was indeed available to in-market through the MAC-branded ESPN3 player on the MAC's website.
  • The new television split between ESPN and CBS Sports Network resulted in many more Mountain West games being shown on national television outlets
    • Nine games were shown on ESPN/ESPN2
    • Eleven games were shown on ESPNU/ESPNEWS (note: Rutgers-Fresno St. was sublicensed from CBS Sports Network)
    • 21 games were carried by CBS Sports Network
    • ESPN3 streamed five games
      • Three of the five were from the package of 22 games that ESPN pre-selected.  Two of the games were unclaimed by the television and streaming partners, allowing the schools to choose where they wanted those games to be shown
  • ROOT Sports televised eleven games
    • All ROOT Sports games were available out-of-market via the Mountain West website
  • Eight games were exclusively streamed through the Mountain West website
    • Five of those eight were produced by Campus Insiders.  Three were produced by the schools.
  • An apples-to-apples comparison to previous years is really not possible.  
    • One barometer is that, on average, Mountain West games were shown nationally around 17-20 times per season with a mix of Versus/NBCSN, CBS Sports Network, ABC, ESPN and CBS.  
    • In 2012, 15 games were shown on networks that are in at least 75 million plus households.  In 2013, that number jumped to 20 in homes with nearly 74.5 million
    • Typically CBSSN showed less than ten Mountain West games per year. In 2013, that number, as noted above jumped to 21.
  • Both ESPN and FOX hold the rights to 22 games. This excludes the conference championship game, which swaps between the two entities
  • FOX is supposed to air eight regular season games (four in east coast primetime) on their broadcast network but only aired seven. They did select five Pac-12 games to air in primetime.  ABC is only required to air two regular season games (one in primetime) and will end up airing six with two in primetime.
    • Overall, the number of broadcast network games for the Pac-12 decreased slightly from 16 to 13
    • Will FOX get in trouble?  Probably not.  To be honest, the Pac-12 brought ESPN and FOX together for this rights deal.  I don't think ESPN would be able to take on FOX's 22 games themselves and want to pay FOX's share of the rights fee.  I also don't think CBS or NBC have the interest going forward.  Too many legal entanglements that aren't worth fighting.
  • The number of games on pay television from ESPN and FOX increased from 28 to 32
    • FOX Sports 1 aired 15, up from 10 on F/X
    • ESPN's properties televised 16, down two from 2012
  • If we look at the games by time range for the games on Saturdays
    • Five broadcast network games (four on ABC, one on FOX) and five national pay TV games (all on FOX Sports 1) started between 12pm-1pm local time to the game (early afternoon).  Seven broadcast network games (two on ABC, five on FOX) and nine pay television (all on F/X) started between 11:30am-1pm local time in 2012
      • Local time was used to account for Mountain time and when Arizona is on standard time
    • Seven broadcast network games (five on FOX, two on ABC) and two pay television games (one each on ESPN and FOX Sports 1) started between 4pm-5pm local time in 2013.  Eight broadcast network games (six on FOX, two on ABC) started between 3:30pm-5pm local time in 2012.
    • Late evening games increased to account for the decrease in early afternoon games.  F/X did not televise any late evening Saturday games in 2012 while ESPN carried 12 that started at 7pm or later local time.  In 2013, ESPN aired 11 of these same games while FOX Sports 1 five of these games
  • Similar to the Big 12, FOX will now be a player for Thursday night games.  ESPN aired all four from the conference in 2012, excluding the Thursday before Labor Day.  In 2013, ESPN carried two and FOX Sports 1 carried two.  FS1 also televised one on the Thursday before Labor Day and the Pac-12 Network showed an Arizona St. Thursday night game post-Labor Day.
  • The main difference, that I'm aware of, between 2012 and 2013 is that CBS once again had the top choice for all Saturdays.  In 2012, ESPN had two Saturdays where they were able to leapfrog CBS due to CBS airing LSU-Alabama as a second primetime game in 2011.
  • ESPN Networks carried 44 games over ESPN, ESPN2 and ESPNU in 2013, two more than 2012
    • ESPN carried 21 games and ESPN2 aired eleven games
    • ESPNU carried eleven games in '13, down two from the prior year. 
      • The 7pm ESPNU slot was traditionally a slot for an SEC, but did not air any SEC games for a seven week stretch from 10/12-11/23
    • ESPN and ESPNU selected six games to air at 12pm ET as part of the in-season selection process (Saturday games starting with 9/21/13).  Eight were at 12pm on ESPN, ESPN2 and ESPNU in 2012
      • Of the six games in '13, four were on Saturdays where CBS did not have their exclusive primetime window which locks ESPN out of carrying any SEC games after mid-afternoon.  In '12 this number was five.
  • CSS's sublicensed package of SEC games ends with the 2013 season.  These games will air on the SEC Network in 2014
    • FOX's RSN package ends after the 2014 season. 
  • A slight decrease in coverage with two games on ESPN2 (down one from 2012) and four on ESPNU (down one from 2012)
    • Late membership changes by FAU and Middle Tennessee as schedules were being drawn up could have affected the number of games chosen.
  • Two additional games were placed on ESPNEWS
  • A possible carryover from Texas St.'s time in the WAC was that the Longhorn Network carried three Texas St. football games.  The WAC allowed Longhorn Network to be considered a conference television platform into 2012.  
  • Much like the MAC, all games that were not picked up for some form of television broadcast ended up as ESPN3 exclusives.

Monday, November 18, 2013

MWC TV Bonus Payout synopsis

When Boise St. withdrew its decision to leave the Mountain West, part of the term sheet agreed to was that the conference's TV revenues in football would have a new component based on games on widely viewed networks.  If a school appeared on a widely viewed network as part of the MW's television package, the competing schools would get a cut of revenue off the top.

The term sheet in question states that games on weeknights on significantly viewed networks (the term sheet defines those networks) would net the participating schools each $300K.  Any game that is on a Saturday earns an additional $200K ($500K total).  The bonuses are cumulative.

The MW TV revenue yearly average from both CBS Sports Network and ESPN were to be around $20 million.  Right now, I'm not taking into account whether the MW conference championship game is included in the bonus payments.  Here's what each school earned off the top before TV revenues are divided out.

Boise St. = $1.6 million (2 weeknight, 2 Saturday)
Fresno St. = $1.3 million (1 weeknight, 2 Saturday)
Wyoming = $1 million (2 Saturday)
San Diego St. = $800K (1 weeknight, 1 Saturday)
San Jose St. = $600K (2 weeknight)
New Mexico = $500K (1 Saturday)
Air Force = $300K (1 weeknight)
Nevada = $300K (1 weeknight)
Utah St. = $300K (1 weeknight)

Hawai'i is allegedly not part of the bonus system and instead gets to keep TV revenue from its PPV package.  Colorado St. and UNLV did not appear on any of the significantly viewed networks.  The remaining $13.3 million should be divided equally amongst the eleven schools.

CFB TV confirmations for Week 14

Not doing one of these for the 12/7 stuff.   Just follow twitter account and schedule site.
  • Six day pick in place for some Big Ten games 
    • Minnesota-Michigan St. - ABC/ESPN/ESPN2 at 12pm or 3:30pm
    • Purdue at Indiana - BTN at either 12pm or 3:30pm
    • Penn St. at Wisconsin - ABC/ESPN/ESPN2/BTN at 3:30pm
  • ACC has two games on hold for ESPN2 (12pm or 3:30pm) & ESPNU (3:30pm)
    • Virginia Tech-Virginia
    • Duke-North Carolina
  • Baylor-TCU will be either at 3:30pm (ABC/ESPN/ESPN2) or 8pm (ABC)
  • UCLA-USC is a six day pick right now too. Same time slots as Baylor-TCU.

Week 14
My Guesses

12pm ABC & WatchABC: Ohio St. at Michigan
12pm ESPN & WatchESPN: Florida St. at Florida
12pm FOX Sports 1 & FOX Sports GO: Kansas St. at Kansas
12pm ESPNU: Rutgers at Connecticut
12pm SEC TV & ESPN3: Wake Forest at Vanderbilt
12:30pm ACC Network & ESPN3: Maryland at NC State
2pm Pac-12 & Pac-12.com: Utah at Colorado
2pm ESPN3 Exclusive: Air Force at Colorado St.
2:30pm FSN: North Texas at Tulsa
3:30pm CBS & CBSSports.com: Alabama at Auburn
3:30pm ABC/ESPN/ESPN2: Georgia at Georgia Tech
3:30pm BTN & BTN2GO: Northwestern at Illinois
3:30pm ACC RSNs & ESPN3: Boston College at Syracuse
4pm FOX Sports 1 & FOX Sports GO: Iowa St. at West Virginia
7pm ESPN2 & WatchESPN: Clemson at South Carolina
7pm ESPNU & WatchESPN: Tennessee at Kentucky
7:45pm ESPN & WatchESPN: Texas A&M at Missouri
9:30pm Pac-12 & Pac-12.com: Arizona at Arizona St.
10:15pm ESPN2 & WatchESPN: New Mexico at Boise St.
10:30pm ESPNU & WatchESPN: San Diego St. at UNLV

Sunday, November 17, 2013

CFB TV Guesses for 11/30


  • Black Friday selections, except for any MAC games on ESPN3, were taken care of last night & early this morning.
  • There is no scheduled 12pm American syndication game.  The 11/23 game was the last scheduled game of the American/Big East football syndication network, going back to the days of Creative Sports.
  • I expect a six day pick to be used on the games that could affect the outcome of the ACC Coastal.
  • An ACC Network split is possible
  • FOX selected the Notre Dame-Stanford game before the season started & elected to play it on their broadcast network.  It, along with the Civil War and Apple Cup on Black Friday, represents their 22nd Pac-12 selection on the season, which means they won't have one available for the 12 day selection process.
  • Last year, FOX and ABC air Pac-12 games concurrently in the evening, though the FOX game had a staggered start of 6:30pm ET (UCLA-Stanford) while ABC's game started at 8pm (Notre Dame-USC).  They could do that again, but I think the possibility of an undefeated Baylor is tough to pass up, even if TCU isn't a marquee opponent.  If they do elect to do staggered starts, swap the UCLA-USC and Baylor-TCU games on the TV windows.
  • The Pac-12 Network windows are at 2pm ET and 9:30pm ET, respectively, which leads one to believe they are earmarked to games involving Mountain/Arizona time zone schools.  I think they would also try to keep the Territorial Cup and Crosstown Rivalry games in separate TV windows.
  • The FSN timeslot is somewhat unusual, but they are airing a Big East basketball game at 12pm ET (Lipscomb-Georgetown).
Saturday 11/30
12pm ABC: Ohio St. at Michigan
12pm ESPN: Clemson at South Carolina
12pm ESPN2: Duke at North Carolina
12pm FOX Sports 1: Kansas St. at Kansas
12pm ESPNEWS: Rutgers at Connecticut
12pm ESPNU: Wake Forest at Vanderbilt
12pm BTN: Purdue at Indiana
12pm SEC TV: Tennessee at Kentucky
12:30pm ACC Network: Virginia Tech at Virginia
2pm Pac-12: Utah at Colorado
2pm FSN: North Texas at Tulsa
3:30pm CBS: Alabama at Auburn
3:30pm ABC: Minnesota at Michigan St.
3:30pm ESPN: UCLA at USC
3:30pm ESPN2: Penn St. at Wisconsin
3:30pm ESPNU: Boston College at Syracuse
3:30pm BTN: Northwestern at Illinois
3:30pm ACC RSNs: Maryland at NC State
4pm FOX Sports 1: Iowa St. at West Virginia
7pm ESPN: Texas A&M at Missouri
7pm ESPN2: Georgia at Georgia Tech
7pm ESPNU: Florida St. at Florida
8pm ABC: Baylor at TCU
9:30pm Pac-12: Arizona at Arizona St.
10:15pm ESPN2: New Mexico at Boise St.
10:30pm ESPNU: San Diego St. at UNLV

ESPN3
Temple at Memphis
Air Force at Colorado St.