Monday, October 31, 2016

Notes on 11/5 Six Day & 11/12 TV Selections

* I was a bit surprised to see the Washington at California game pushed to the late Pac-12 window on ESPN while the Oregon at USC game will precede it at 7pm ET.  Maybe more that the Washington at California game wasn't at 3:30pm ET.  Both games involve schools at the top of their respective divisions with USC, Utah and Colorado tied on record (Utah defeated USC, USC defeated Colorado, Utah & Colorado will play the final weekend).

I suppose the reasoning for the order is two-fold:
  • Folks may be more likely to stay up for the higher ranked Huskies compared to the Trojans.
  • Nebraska at Ohio St. and Alabama at LSU will draw plenty of viewers.  Similar to FS1 showing Kansas at Oklahoma at 7pm ET on 10/29 where a large portion of the game would be played opposite the World Series, Clemson at Florida St. and Nebraska at Wisconsin, it made more sense to have Washington at Utah outside of that fray.  Same with the placement of the two Pac-12 games, plus Kansas at West Virginia at 7pm ET.
* Use of the ACC Network split telecast window works only when you have a pair of games that don't have schools sharing any geography, such as Pittsburgh at Miami (FL) & Georgia Tech at North Carolina.  The split for distribution is rather easy:  western Pennsylvania and most of Florida for the former and at least Georgia & North Carolina for the latter.  The Georgia Tech at UNC game, in my opinion, should be the game more affiliates should have interest in.

* 11/5's Syracuse at Clemson & Oklahoma St. at Kansas St. pairing is a somewhat rare 3:30pm ET ABC window where a reverse mirror was set up not involving a Big Ten.  The most recent of these was 11/28/15 involving North Carolina at NC State & UCLA at USC.  Prior to that was 10/4/14 between Baylor at Texas & Wake Forest at Florida St.

* For the 11/12 games held for six day selections, I don't think it can be assumed that the Big 12 games being held would be split where the game airing on ABC/ESPN/ESPN2 will be at 3:30pm.  Putting the Big 12 game at 3:30pm would make it a near lock that the ABC 12pm game is a national Big Ten game.

* It will be interesting to see where Northwestern at Purdue is slotted.  There's a bit of an aversion to kickoffs at 3:30pm or later at Ross-Ade and all home games in 2016 have started at 12pm ET.  The most recent game to start at 3:30pm ET was the Minnesota game on 10/10/15, televised by ESPNU.  The opening on BTN may not be for this game either.  The last BTN game hosted by Purdue that started later than noon was 2012's visit by Michigan which started at 4pm ET, which was kinda, sorta, tacked onto the Big Ten's night game release for 2012, at least by the Boilermakers, because the conference didn't note it in their release.

* In their release regarding the SEC games being held for six day selections, the conference happens to note CBS's second selection will be after their first and an ESPN selection.  What I take this to mean is that CBS and ESPN had a pair of games in mind at the top, then ESPN selected Mississippi St. at Alabama, because it is reasonable to assume that this will be the main ESPN's last Alabama game until the College Football Playoff provided they reach it, and for CBS, they appear to be holding their final Crimson Tide appearance for the Iron Bowl.  Whether Mississippi St. at Alabama was officially 2nd or 3rd, I don't know if it matters, but I believe it was half of the meat in a CBS selection sandwich.

* The selection of Stanford at Oregon by Pac-12 Networks unlocks all games for all Pac-12 TV partners for the rest of the season.  Stanford was the only Pac-12 school that had the possibility of having their final game, vs. Rice, locked into a TV partner based on the selection of the TV partner for the The Big Game vs. California.

* I believe that the TV windows for the Pac-12 Networks were adjusted slightly.  Once the decision was made to start Oregon St. at UCLA at 6pm PT, which is the earliest it could start once FOX elected to use its primetime telecast window, a decision was made to put a gap between the Pac-12 Networks windows instead of having them run back-to-back.  If they would have run back to back, a 2:30pm PT start for Stanford at Oregon would have been "legal" based on the start time, but my guess is that, unless an exception was made, FOX would have preferred to have either a game start at 2:30pm PT or 6pm PT, but not both.

* Colorado at Arizona is the first Colorado game to be selected by ESPN or FOX as part of the rolling 12 day selection process in 2016 for the Pac-12.  Their other scheduled appearances on those two platforms were previously scheduled weeknight games.

* FOX's primetime window minimum of four Pac-12 games was met by the selection of Washington at USC.  Six Pac-12 broadcast network windows have been used by FOX.  Two more are required and can be at any available time.

CFB TV Selections for 2016 Week Eleven (11/8/16 - 11/12/16)

This post will be updated as announcements come out for start times for 11/8, 11/9 & 11/12 from the twelve day selection process that most TV networks adhere to (yes, the two midweek dates are closer than twelve days, I know).  Please understand that games can be held until next Sunday if a broadcaster wants to wait on the results of the Week Ten games.  Most conferences have the possibility of having all or part of their games held for a six day hold of the start time.

The list of available TV windows are based on media websites, TV listings and press releases.  They can change based on the needs of the broadcaster or the conference.

Here's what I guessed based on the available openings (they'll prove to be incorrect) and here is the current schedule for the week as several FBS games do have their time & television/webcast assignments already accounted for.  


All Times Eastern

Six Day Holds
Baylor at Oklahoma & West Virginia at Texas - 12pm (ABC/ESPN2/FS1) & 3:30pm (ABC/ESPN/ESPN2)
Penn St. at Indiana, Ohio St. at Maryland, Northwestern at Purdue,  - 12pm (ABC/ESPN2) & 3:30pm (ABC/ESPN/ESPN2/BTN) 
Illinois at Wisconsin - 3:30pm (ABC/ESPN/ESPN2/BTN)
LSU at Arkansas, Auburn at Georgia, South Carolina at Florida, Kentucky at Tennessee and Ole Miss at Texas A&M - 12pm (CBS & SEC Network), 3:30pm (CBS), 7pm (ESPN), 7:30pm (SEC Network)

Tuesday
7:30pm ESPN2: Western Michigan at Kent St.
7:30pm CBSSN: Eastern Michigan at Ball St.

Wednesday
8pm ESPN2: Toledo vs. Northern Illinois
8pm ESPNU: Bowling Green at Akron

Saturday
12pm ESPN: Mississippi St. at Alabama
12pm ESPNU/ESPNEWS: SMU at East Carolina
12pm ESPNU/ESPNEWS: Cincinnati at UCF
12pm FSN: Iowa St. at Kansas
12pm BTN: Rutgers at Michigan St.
12:30pm ACC Network: NC State at Syracuse
1pm ESPN3: Miami (OH) at Buffalo
2pm ACC RSNs: Miami (FL) at Virginia
2pm ESPN3: UL-Monroe at Georgia St.
3pm ESPN3: New Mexico St. at Arkansas St.
3:30pm ABC/ESPN/ESPN2: Pittsburgh at Clemson
3:30pm FS1: Texas Tech at Oklahoma St.
3:30pm ESPNU: Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech
3:30pm SEC: Vanderbilt at Missouri
3:30pm CBSSN: Tulane at Houston
3:30pm ASN: Nicholls at Central Arkansas
3:30pm ESPN3: Appalachian St. at Troy
4pm Pac-12: Stanford at Oregon
4pm Spectrum-TX: Idaho at Texas St.
4pm ESPN3:  Tennessee Tech at Tennessee St.
7pm ESPN2: Wake Forest at Louisville
7pm ESPNU: USF at Memphis
7pm ESPN3: Sam Houston St. at Northwestern St.
7:30pm FOX: Washington at USC
8pm ABC: Michigan at Iowa
9pm Pac-12:  Oregon St. at UCLA
10pm FS1: Colorado at Arizona
10:15pm ESPN2/ESPNU: New Mexico at Utah St.
10:15pm ESPN2/ESPNU: Colorado St. at Air Force
10:30pm ESPN: California at Washington St.

Sunday, October 30, 2016

CFB TV Guesses for 2016 Week Eleven (11/8/16 - 11/12/16)

Here are the games already set for television and/or webcast.  Here are the known available telecast windows.

* CBS has a SEC doubleheader for the second week in a row.  The selection rules around this doubleheader are slightly different.  The 12pm game for CBS is selected fourth, after the 3:30pm CBS game and two ESPN selections.  Also, the 12pm game can have concurrent games on ESPN, ESPN2 and/or ESPNU.
* Because of the available games, I could see a six day pick being used here.  What I would expect is that CBS would stay away from Alabama at Mississippi St. because that choice would be Alabama's 5th appearance on CBS, which is the maximum when no exceptions are used by CBS.  And, unfortunately, no, I do not know what triggers a sixth CBS appearance (SEC champ game excluded), but one was used on Alabama last season.
* Since it was asked already, SEC games on CBS that were picked via sublicense from ESPN (UCLA at Texas A&M & Kentucky at Florida) are not counted as appearances on CBS.
* FOX Sports will carry three Big 12 and two Pac-12 games.  FSN's 12pm window belongs to the Big 12 and the 10pm game is a Pac-12 game. It is reasonable to assume that the 12pm FS1 game is a Big 12 game as well, so the flexible windows for the two conferences are 3:30pm ET on FS1 and 7:30pm on FOX.
* Illinois at Wisconsin is set for a 3:30pm ET start as a homecoming game.  Michigan at Iowa is either a 7pm or 8pm ET start, depending on the choice of network.
* The Pac-12 window at 5:30pm ET allows for ABC or FOX to air a night game.
* The ACC RSN window is at 2pm.  Many FOX RSNs are bookending the football game with basketball games from the Big East (USC Upstate at Georgetown, 12pm) and the ACC (Grand Canyon at Duke, 5:30pm).
* My heart said Appalachian St. at Troy had more at stake than SMU at East Carolina.  ESPNEWS it is for the matchup of two schools currently at 4-0 in the Sun Belt.

All times Eastern

Tuesday
7:30pm ESPN2: Western Michigan at Kent St.
7:30pm CBSSN: Eastern Michigan at Ball St.

Wednesday
8pm ESPN2: Toledo vs. Northern Illinois
8pm ESPNU: Bowling Green at Akron

Saturday
12pm ABC: Pittsburgh at Clemson
12pm CBS: South Carolina at Florida
12pm ESPN: Ohio St. at Maryland
12pm ESPN2: Auburn at Georgia
12pm FS1: Texas Tech at Oklahoma St.
12pm ESPNU: Northwestern at Purdue
12pm FSN: Iowa St. at Kansas
12pm ESPNEWS: Appalachian St. at Troy
12pm SEC: Kentucky at Tennessee
12pm BTN: Rutgers at Michigan St.
12:30pm ACC Network: NC State at Syracuse
2pm ACC RSNs: Miami (FL) at Virginia
2pm Pac-12: Stanford at Oregon
3:30pm CBS: Ole Miss at Texas A&M
3:30pm ABC: Baylor at Oklahoma
3:30pm ESPN: Wake Forest at Louisville
3:30pm ESPN2: Penn St. at Indiana
3:30pm FS1: West Virginia at Texas
3:30pm ESPNU: USF at Memphis
3:30pm CBSSN: Cincinnati at UCF
3:30pm BTN: Illinois at Wisconsin
3:30pm ASN: Sam Houston St. at Northwestern St.
4pm SEC: Vanderbilt at Missouri
5:30pm Pac-12: Oregon St. at UCLA
7pm ESPN: Mississippi St. at Alabama
7pm ESPN2: Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech
7pm ESPNU: Tulane at Houston
7:30pm FOX: USC at Washington
7:30pm SEC: LSU at Arkansas
8pm ABC: Michigan at Iowa
10pm FS1: Colorado at Arizona
10:15pm ESPN2: New Mexico at Utah St.
10:15pm ESPNU: Colorado St. at Air Force
10:30pm ESPN: California at Washington St.

ESPN3 Exclusives
Miami (OH) at Buffalo
SMU at East Carolina
UL-Monroe at Georgia St.
New Mexico St. at Arkansas St.
Idaho at Texas St.
Jacksonville St. at Murray St. (OVC wildcard selection)

Friday, October 28, 2016

Guesses for CFB TV Six Day Picks for 11/5/16 Games

This set of guesses takes into account the two Thursday night results (Virginia Tech over Pittsburgh & USC over California).  I'll give you my main scenario (two ACC Network games) and an alternate (an ABC split national window with ESPN3 outermarket coverage).  I do not believe any of the ACC games will end up as ACC Network Extra exclusives.

Remember that some of these games are already locked into a start time, such as Wisconsin at Northwestern, Maryland at Michigan, the two SEC games listed at 12pm and the two Mountain West games at 10:15pm.  Also, the two Big 12 games were specifically slotted to air at 3:30pm and 7pm.  Noon ET was not presented as an option.

12pm ABC/ESPN2: Wisconsin at Northwestern
12pm ABC/ESPN2: Syracuse at Clemson
12pm ESPN: Texas A&M at Mississippi St.
12pm SEC: Vanderbilt at Auburn
12:30pm ACC Network: Louisville at Boston College
12:30pm ACC Network: Pittsburgh at Miami (FL)
3:30pm ABC: Washington at California
3:30pm ESPN: Maryland at Michigan
3:30pm ESPN2: Oklahoma St. at Kansas St.
3:30pm ESPNU: Georgia Tech at North Carolina
4pm Pac-12: Oregon at USC
7pm ESPN: Virginia Tech at Duke
7pm ESPN2: Kansas at West Virginia
7pm ESPNU: Florida St. at NC State
10:15pm ESPN2: Utah St. at Wyoming
10:15pm ESPNU: Nevada at New Mexico
10:30pm ESPN: Arizona at Washington St.

The alternate affects the 12:30pm ET ACC Network and 3:30pm ET telecast windows.  To the best of my knowledge, the Big 12 and ACC still allow for games to be shown regionally on ABC without television coverage on ESPN or ESPN2 for those not receiving the game on their ABC affiliate.

All others remain the same:

12:30pm ACC: Pittsburgh at Miami (FL)
3:30pm ABC: Oklahoma St. at Kansas St. & Georgia Tech at North Carolina
3:30pm ESPN: Washington at California
3:30pm ESPN2: Maryland at Michigan
3:30pm ESPNU: Louisville at Boston College

Tuesday, October 25, 2016

Notes on 11/1 & 11/5 CFB TV Selections and Six Day Holds

* Again, 11/1 is included because the television decision was made today.  Should be no surprise that Western Michigan's game is on ESPN2 while they are still undefeated.

* For the six days holds, yes, it does seem like too many games are being held for the number of openings.  Thosee openings are:
  • 12pm & 3:30pm (ABC)
  • 12pm, 3:30pm, 7pm & 10:30pm (ESPN)
  • 12pm, 3:30pm and 7pm (ESPN2)
  • 3:30pm & 7pm (ESPNU)
  • 12:30pm (ACC Network)
  • Sometime between 4pm & 7pm (Pac-12 Networks)
The Mountain West having both of their games on ESPN2 and ESPNU in the late evening throws off a few things, at least from my perspective, and keeps a few split window options in place, either for two games on ACC Network at 12:30pm or the possibility of a split national window on ABC at 3:30pm between the ACC and Big 12 where the game that isn't available in your area is only on ESPN3 (this appears to still be allowed).

This also allows for a Pac-12 game to be shown earlier in the evening, presumably Washington at California provided both have positive results this weekend.  It also feels like FS1 was at the back of the bus when it came to Pac-12 Saturday, though they'll have the school currently leading the Pac-12 South on Thursday 11/3 (UCLA at Colorado).

* An interesting move by FOX to move its broadcast network game to 3:30pm ET out of its previously scheduled time of 7:30pm ET.  With Alabama at LSU & Nebraska at Ohio St. at 8pm ET on CBS and ABC, respectively, coupled with available selections from the Big 12 and Pac-12, it may have been a wise move to bow out of that timeslot.

* So far, 21 American Athletic Conference games have been scheduled for ABC, ESPN, ESPN2 or ESPNU, including the conference championship game.  I believe they'll need another five total scheduled for those networks on 11/12, 11/19 and 11/26.  Black Friday will provide them with two games on those networks, which should get them to 28.

* Stanford still needs another game on Pac-12 Networks, which is why I think FS1's Saturday selection was behind both ESPN's two picks and the Pac-12 Networks.  They should make up for it with the Rice game on 11/26.

* The Pac-12 should occupy three of FOX's five broadcast network games on 11/12, the 11/19 doubleheader, 11/25 & 11/26 to get to the minimum number of eight broadcast network telecasts.  My expectation is that the Apple Cup will be selected over TCU at Texas on Black Friday, so that should take care of one game.  Also, FOX should owe the conference one more 7:30pm ET game.  They have had three evening games so far with four primetime games expected by the conference as part of the FOX Sports package.

Monday, October 24, 2016

CFB TV Selections for 2016 Week Ten (11/1/16 - 11/5/16)

This post will be updated as announcements come out for start times for 11/1 & 11/5 from the twelve day selection process that most TV networks adhere to (yes, 11/1 is eight days away, I know).  Please understand that games can be held until next Sunday if a broadcaster wants to wait on the results of the Week Nine games.  Most conferences have the possibility of having all or part of their games held for a six day hold of the start time.

The list of available TV windows are based on media websites, TV listings and press releases.  They can change based on the needs of the broadcaster or the conference.

Here's what I guessed based on the available openings (they'll prove to be incorrect) and here is the current schedule for the week as several FBS games do have their time & television/webcast assignments already accounted for.  


All Times Eastern

Six Day Holds
Oklahoma St. at Kansas St. (ABC/ESPN/ESPN2 at 3:30pm ET or ESPN/ESPN2 at 7pm ET)
Kansas at West Virginia (ABC/ESPN/ESPN2 at 3:30pm ET or ESPN/ESPN2 at 7pm ET)

All ACC games except Virginia at Wake Forest for the following networks & times:
  • ABC/ESPN/ESPN2 at 12pm
  • ACC Network at 12:30pm
  • ABC/ESPN/ESPN2/ESPNU at 3:30pm
  • ESPN/ESPN2/ESPNU at 7pm 
Oregon at USC, Arizona at Washington St. & Washington at California - one at 10:30pm on ESPN, one at either 3:30pm or 7pm (probably same networks as Big 12, maybe including ESPNU which makes it like ACC) and a flexible Pac-12 Networks start between 4pm & 7pm ET.

Tuesday
7:30pm ESPN2: Western Michigan at Ball St.
7:30pm ESPNU: Bowling Green at Northern Illinois

Saturday
12pm ABC/ESPN/ESPN2: Wisconsin at Northwestern
12pm ESPN/ESPN2 or SEC: Vanderbilt at Auburn
12pm ESPN/ESPN2 or SEC: Texas A&M at Mississippi St.
12pm FS1: Texas at Texas Tech
12pm ESPNU: Georgia Southern at Ole Miss
12pm ESPNEWS: Michigan St. at Illinois
12pm BTN: Indiana at Rutgers
2pm ESPN3: Jacksonville St. at Southeast Missouri
3pm ACC RSNs: Virginia at Wake Forest
3:30pm CBS: Florida at Arkansas
3:30pm FOX: TCU at Baylor
3:30pm ABC/ESPN/ESPN2: Maryland at Michigan
3:30pm FS1: Oregon St. at Stanford
3:30pm CBSSN: BYU at Cincinnati
3:30pm BTN: Purdue at Minnesota
3:30pm ASN: Central Arkansas at Stephen F. Austin
3:30pm ESPN3: Massachusetts at Troy
3:30pm ESPN3: Texas St. at Appalachian St.
4pm ESPNEWS: Memphis at SMU
4pm SEC: Missouri at South Carolina
4pm SEC Alt: Tennessee Tech at Tennessee
5pm ESPN3: Tulane at UCF
5pm ESPN3: Idaho at UL-Lafayette
5pm ESPN3: South Alabama at UL-Monroe
7pm ESPN3: McNeese at Sam Houston St.
7:30pm SEC: Georgia at Kentucky
8pm CBS: Alabama at LSU
8pm ABC: Nebraska at Ohio St.
8pm ESPNEWS: East Carolina at Tulsa
10:30pm ESPN2/ESPNU: Nevada at New Mexico
10:30pm ESPN2/ESPNU: Utah St. at Wyoming

Sunday, October 23, 2016

CFB TV Guesses for 2016 Week Ten (11/1/16 - 11/5/16)

Here are the games already set for television and/or webcast.  Here are the known available telecast windows.

* CBS has a doubleheader with a primetime game.  This means that they'll have the first two choices among SEC games.  Verne Lundquist acknowledged the (relatively) obvious on Dallas radio this week that Alabama at LSU will be the 8pm game.  ESPN can only show games on SEC Network while CBS has their telecast windows, so expect any SEC games on ESPN, ESPN2 and/or ESPNU at 12pm ET.
* The SEC Network is scheduled to have two games at 4pm ET.
* Nebraska at Ohio St. is locked as an 8pm ET start.
* FOX Sports is scheduled to air two Big 12 games and one Pac-12 game between their three telecast windows on FS1 and FOX.
* The 3:30pm ASN selection is for the Southland.
* To squeeze in every Power 5 & American game on TV, I went with an ACC Network split window, trying to pick two games that would be shown in two unique "home" markets.  If that doesn't happen, and later weeks may be more suited to split windows, move Tulane at UCF to ESPN3 and move an ACC game to ESPNEWS in its place.  That game was moved to this date due to preparations for Hurricane Matthew.
* I am hesitant to place any more Big 12 games on ESPNU, which is why Texas at Texas Tech is on ESPN2.  There is a stated limit of four or five games on ESPNU and the Big 12 has hit the lower end of the limit and I do not know what circumstances allow for a fifth game.
* You might see more six day picks used starting this week.  By doing as many selections as ESPN does where the set the kickoff time, but not the network, inside the games they select, they can be more flexible later in the season.

All Times Eastern

Tuesday
7:30pm ESPN2: Western Michigan at Ball St.
7:30pm ESPNU: Bowling Green at Northern Illinois

Saturday
12pm ABC: TCU at Baylor
12pm ESPN: Wisconsin at Northwestern
12pm ESPN2: Vanderbilt at Auburn
12pm FS1: Oklahoma St. at Kansas St.
12pm ESPNU: Texas A&M at Mississippi St.
12pm ESPNEWS: BYU at Cincinnati
12pm SEC: Georgia at Kentucky
12pm BTN: Michigan St. at Illinois
12:30pm ACC Network: Pittsburgh at Miami (FL)
12:30pm ACC Network: Virginia Tech at Duke
3pm ACC RSNs: Virginia at Wake Forest
3:30pm CBS: Florida at Arkansas
3:30pm ABC: Maryland at Michigan
3:30pm ESPN: Florida St. at NC State
3:30pm ESPN2: Louisville at Boston College
3:30pm FS1: Kansas at West Virginia
3:30pm ESPNU: Indiana at Rutgers
3:30pm CBSSN: Tulane at UCF
3:30pm BTN: Purdue at Minnesota
3:30pm ASN: McNeese at Sam Houston St.
4pm ESPNEWS: Memphis at SMU
4pm SEC: Georgia Southern at Ole Miss
4pm SEC: Tennessee Tech at Tennessee
4pm Pac-12: Oregon St. at Stanford
7pm ESPN: Syracuse at Clemson
7pm ESPN2: Texas at Texas Tech
7pm ESPNU: Georgia Tech at North Carolina
7:30pm FOX: Washington at California
7:30pm SEC: Missouri at South Carolina
8pm CBS: Alabama at LSU
8pm ABC: Nebraska at Ohio St.
8pm ESPNEWS: East Carolina at Tulsa
10:15pm ESPNU: Utah St. at Wyoming
10:30pm ESPN: Oregon at USC
10:30pm ESPN2: Arizona at Washington St.

ESPN3 Exclusives
Nevada at New Mexico
Massachusetts at Troy
Texas St. at Appalachian St.
Idaho at UL-Lafayette
South Alabama at UL-Monroe