Sunday, October 23, 2022

CFB TV Guesses for 2022 Week 10 (11/5/22)

Here are the games already set for television and/or webcast. Here are the known available telecast windows. 

I have done my best to list what TV windows are out there. Every listing service has a little different schedule for these networks. It is also possible that a window could be eliminated or the time of a window could shift slightly to accommodate a network's needs.

Instead of cluttering up these posts even more, I'll try to keep track of the unique conference TV arrangements in a separate post.  

A few notes and considerations:

* BTN has a night game window this week, and I'm expecting it to be their last of the season, along with this being the last time ESPN's networks and FOX Sports can air a Big Ten game at night with no strings attached.  After 11/5, there's a set of conditions that need to be met for a Big Ten game to be played at night.  Most notably is that both teams had to agree to it in advance.
* I don't think BTN is planning for four games with two at 12pm, but I didn't have a great path to fit everything in.
* I'm putting the over/under number of conferences that will have a six day hold at 2.5 and preparing for the over to be hit.
* I have Wake Forest at NC State at 3:30pm on ESPN on merit of both schools being ranked, but I fear that you'll be able to flip it to a lesser network in favor of bigger brands.
* I know that I have both AAC ranked teams on ESPNU in their respective games, but I wouldn't be stunned to see one of their games on ABC at 3:30pm to use one of the conference's three required ABC games.  I know both are playing schools that have losing records, but if you think every is going to be watching Tennessee-Georgia, you can be creative with programming.
* I'm told the AAC can fill a couple NFLN slots and this might be the week to do so, especially now that the MAC is going to their mid-week schedule.
* I'm conflicted as to whether Texas at Kansas State or Texas Tech at TCU should be FOX's sole broadcast network window.  This particular Saturday would be the date of World Series Game 7, plus FOX also has the MLS Cup in mid-afternoon.  I could see FOX making the 7pm game flexible to FOX or FS1 in the event they have the bandwidth to air it on the broadcast network

Games where time or TV is set, but not both
BYU at Boise State (TBA, FOX Sports)
Hawai'i at Fresno State (TBA, FOX Sports)

All times Eastern

12pm ABC: Maryland at Wisconsin
12pm FOX: Texas at Kansas State
12pm ESPN: Ohio State at Northwestern
12pm ESPN2: Miami (FL) at Florida State
12pm FS1: Michigan State at Illinois
12pm ESPNU: Navy at Cincinnati
12pm SEC: Auburn at Mississippi State
12pm ACCN: Syracuse at Pitt
12pm BTN: Minnesota at Nebraska
12pm BTN: Iowa at Purdue
12:30pm ACC RSNs: James Madison at Louisville
2pm Pac-12: Arizona at Utah
3:30pm ABC: Oregon at Colorado
3:30pm CBS: Tennessee at Georgia
3:30pm ESPN: Wake Forest at NC State
3:30pm ESPN2: Baylor at Oklahoma
3:30pm FS1: BYU at Boise State
3:30pm ESPNU: Tulane at Tulsa
3:30pm BTN: Penn State at Indiana
3:30pm ACCN: Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech
4pm SEC: South Carolina at Vanderbilt
5:30pm Pac-12: UCLA at Arizona State
7pm ESPN: Alabama at LSU
7pm ESPN2: Kentucky at Missouri
7pm FS1: Texas Tech at TCU
7pm ESPNU: Liberty at Arkansas
7pm NFLN: UCF at Memphis
7:30pm ABC: Oklahoma State at Kansas
7:30pm SEC: Florida at Texas A&M
7:30pm BTN: Michigan at Rutgers
8pm ACCN: North Carolina at Virginia
10:30pm ESPN: California at USC 
10:30pm ESPN2: Washington State at Stanford
10:30pm FS1: Hawai'i at Fresno State

ESPN3/+
West Virginia at Iowa State
South Florida at Temple
Houston at SMU
Marshall at Old Dominion
Troy at Louisiana
Georgia State at Southern Miss
South Alabama at Georgia Southern
Texas State at ULM

15 comments:

Chris said...

is it possible the louisville vs james madison gets relegated to accn xtra like most non marquis acc out of conference games and thus shifting 1 acc game off of espn to accn or accrsn?

Matt Sarzyniak said...

It's possible. JMU has been a decent story this year, but I also think one game beyond FSU-Miami is going to show up on ABC, ESPN or ESPN2.

Schmolik said...

This year FOX is getting all three games involving the Big Ten's Big Three (Ohio State, Michigan, and Penn State). How did ESPN allow this to happen? Obviously ESPN took Notre Dame/Ohio State first (second overall) and they got 10 million for that game so it was a smart pick but what else could they have picked ahead of Penn State/Michigan week?

Matt Sarzyniak said...

I suspect that ESPN didn't expect Wisconsin and Michigan State to fall off so dramatically. Both of those teams were ranked well inside the top 25 to start the year, and ABC had both schools games vs. Ohio State, so I'd assume that those were highly valued by them. They just didn't turn out well at all, and two of those games were inside the stretch where FOX went with four straight Michigan games at noon.

You might also see this even out a bit in November, at least with ABC getting Ohio State, Michigan and Penn State a bit more. FOX only has six selections to spend it appears.

Charles Everett said...

Oregon-Colorado can't air at 10:30 ET -- that would be 8:30 in Boulder and the Pac-12 has a policy that games cannot kick off after 8 PM local time. UO-CU would be a better fit for Pac-12 Networks given CU's poor record.

Matt Sarzyniak said...

Good eyes, Charles. I'm going to make a change on that one.

Anonymous said...

Any reason UCLA ASU is on p12 and not ESPN2?

Matt Sarzyniak said...

I figured that P12N wouldn't be picking below ESPN for all games.

Anonymous said...

That would mean UCLA would have 5 pac 12 network games while being in the top 25. that kinda sucks that stanford would get another national game over them.

Craig said...

Since Tennessee vs. Georgia is so big, I wonder if CBS could buy the rights from ESPN to place that game in primetime on CBS (with, say? Or is that contractually prohibited? That would allow Alabama-LSU to go on CBS as well, using the "6th game" clause they might be able to look into.

Craig said...

What I meant to say is (with, say, the sublicensing rules applied). Money talks sometimes.

Matt Sarzyniak said...

@Craig - when CBS negotiated for Alabama-LSU to air in primetime in 2011, they didn't get an extra SEC game. They just got the ability to air the game in primetime as their SEC game that week.

They could just take Alabama-LSU, plus Alabama-Ole Miss and Alabama-Auburn as a 6th game without having to do extra for Tennessee-Georgia, but I don't know the exact conditions where CBS can claim a sixth game for a school.

I've discussed this far too much on Twitter this week amongst the crowd who believe this game *must* air in primetime, but I don't think its worth the move to lose out on 1st picks next year or some other scenario that CBS would give things up for their final year of SEC football. CBS already proved a big game like Alabama-LSU in 2019 could air at 3:30pm without a problem and draw a great rating for them.

Matt Sarzyniak said...

As for sublicensing, sure, money talks, but the price might be too steep for CBS at this point. They have a good deal with the conference already, so why pay the bills for their partner?

benners76 said...

Hey Matt,
I know nothing about the TV windows but it fascinates me so glad you've done all this work!
What is the rationale for UO/CU at 3:30PM?
Separately... Isn't there a requirement that each school in the PAC 12 has to appear at least 3x on the PAC 12 Network?

Matt Sarzyniak said...

I just thought that's where Oregon-Colorado would have fit.

This item mentioned earlier in the post about conference TV rules, etc. spells out what each school needs to air on P12N.
https://mattsarzsports.blogspot.com/2022/09/2022-conference-tv-requirements-six-day.html